Friday, October 10, 2008

RIDING BY RIDING

(note, many ridings are listed as TCTC, or, Too Close To Call. Half of these will have a prediction by tomorrow afternoon, and the other half, by sunday at noon. I do, however, reserve the right to update the list on Monday if any new polls are published)

CPC 94 -- Lib 59 -- BQ 45 -- NDP 19 -- IND 1 -- TCTC 90



NEWFOUDNLAND - Lib 5 -- NDP 1 -- TCTC 1
TCTC - Avalon
Lib - Bonavista-Gander-Grand Falls-Windsor
Lib - Humber-St. Barbe-Baie Verte
Lib - Labrador
Lib - Random-Burin-St. George's
NDP - St. John's East
Lib - St. John's South-Mount Pearl

PEI - Lib 3 -- TCTC 1
Lib - Cardigan
Lib - Charlottetown
TCTC - Egmont
Lib - Malpeque

NOVA SCOTIA - Lib 5 -- NDP 2 -- TCTC 4
Lib - Cape Breton-Canso
TCTC - Central Nova
TCTC - Cumberland-Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley
Lib - Dartmouth-Cole Harbour
NDP - Halifax
Lib - Halifax West
Lib - Kings-Hants
NDP - Sackville-Eastern Shore
TCTC - South Shore-St. Margaret's
Lib - Sydney-Victoria
TCTC - West Nova

NEW BRUNSWICK - Lib 3 -- CPC 2 -- NDP 1 -- TCTC 4
NDP - Acadie-Bathurst
Lib - Beauséjour
TCTC - Fredericton
CPC - Fundy Royal
TCTC - Madawaska-Restigouche
Lib - Miramichi
Lib - Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe
CPC - New Brunswick Southwest
TCTC - Saint John
TCTC - Tobique-Mactaquac

QUEBEC - BQ 45 -- Lib 10 -- CPC 4 -- IND 1 -- TCTC 15
BQ - Abitibi-Baie-James-Nunavik-Eeyou
BQ - Abitibi-Témiscamingue
TCTC - Ahuntsic
BQ - Alfred-Pellan
BQ - Argenteuil-Papineau-Mirabel
BQ - Bas-Richelieu-Nicolet-Bécancour
CPC - Beauce
BQ - Beauharnois-Salaberry
TCTC - Beauport-Limoilou
BQ - Berthier-Maskinongé
Lib - Bourassa
TCTC - Brome-Missisquoi
TCTC - Brossard-La Prairie
BQ - Chambly-Borduas
TCTC - Charlesbourg-Haute-Saint-Charles
BQ - Châteauguay-Saint-Constant
BQ - Chicoutimi-Le Fjord
BQ - Compton-Stanstead
BQ - Drummond
BQ - Gaspésie-Îles-de-la-Madeleine
TCTC - Gatineau
TCTC - Haute-Gaspésie-La Mitis-Matane-Matapédia
BQ - Hochelaga
Lib - Honoré-Mercier
TCTC - Hull-Aylmer
TCTC - Jeanne-Le Ber
BQ - Joliette
BQ - Jonquière-Alma
BQ - La Pointe-de-l'Île
Lib - Lac-Saint-Louis
Lib - LaSalle-Émard
BQ - Laurentides-Labelle
BQ - Laurier-Sainte-Marie
BQ - Laval
TCTC - Laval-Les Îles
CPC - Lévis-Bellechasse
BQ - Longueuil-Pierre-Boucher
BQ - Lotbinière-Chutes-de-la-Chaudière
TCTC - Louis-Hébert
CPC - Louis-Saint-Laurent
BQ - Manicouagan
BQ - Marc-Aurèle-Fortin
CPC - Mégantic-L'Érable
BQ - Montcalm
BQ - Montmagny-L'Islet-Kamouraska-Rivière-du-Loup
BQ - Montmorency-Charlevoix-Haute-Côte-Nord
Lib - Mount Royal
Lib - Notre-Dame-de-Grâce-Lachine
TCTC - Outremont
TCTC - Papineau
Lib - Pierrefonds-Dollard
TCTC - Pontiac
IND - Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier
BQ - Québec
BQ - Repentigny
BQ - Richmond-Arthabaska
BQ - Rimouski-Neigette-Témiscouata-Les Basques
BQ - Rivière-des-Mille-Îles
BQ - Rivière-du-Nord
TCTC - Roberval-Lac-Saint-Jean
BQ - Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie
BQ - Saint-Bruno-Saint-Hubert
BQ - Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot
BQ - Saint-Jean
BQ - Saint-Lambert
Lib - Saint-Laurent-Cartierville
Lib - Saint-Léonard-Saint-Michel
BQ - Saint-Maurice-Champlain
BQ - Shefford
BQ - Sherbrooke
BQ - Terrebonne-Blainville
BQ - Trois-Rivières
BQ - Vaudreuil-Soulanges
BQ - Verchères-Les Patriotes
Lib - Westmount-Ville-Marie

ONTARIO - Lib 29 -- CPC 29 -- NDP 8 -- TCTC 40
TCTC - Ajax-Pickering
TCTC - Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing
TCTC - Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale
TCTC - Barrie
TCTC - Beaches-East York
Lib - Bramalea-Gore-Malton
TCTC - Brampton West
Lib - Brampton-Springdale
Lib - Brant
CPC - Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound
CPC - Burlington
CPC - Cambridge
CPC - Carleton-Mississippi Mills
CPC - Chatham-Kent-Essex
TCTC - Davenport
Lib - Don Valley East
Lib - Don Valley West
CPC - Dufferin-Caledon
CPC - Durham
Lib - Eglinton-Lawrence
CPC - Elgin-Middlesex-London
CPC - Essex
Lib - Etobicoke Centre
Lib - Etobicoke North
TCTC - Etobicoke-Lakeshore
TCTC - Glengarry-Prescott-Russell
TCTC - Guelph
TCTC - Haldimand-Norfolk
CPC - Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock
TCTC - Halton
NDP - Hamilton Centre
TCTC - Hamilton East-Stoney Creek
NDP - Hamilton Mountain
TCTC - Huron-Bruce
TCTC - Kenora
Lib - Kingston and the Islands
Lib - Kitchener Centre
TCTC - Kitchener-Conestoga
Lib - Kitchener-Waterloo
CPC - Lambton-Kent-Middlesex
CPC - Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington
CPC - Leeds-Grenville
TCTC - London North Centre
TCTC - London West
TCTC - London-Fanshawe
Lib - Markham-Unionville
Lib - Mississauga East-Cooksville
TCTC - Mississauga South
Lib - Mississauga-Brampton South
TCTC - Mississauga-Erindale
TCTC - Mississauga-Streetsville
CPC - Nepean-Carleton
TCTC - Newmarket-Aurora
CPC - Niagara Falls
CPC - Niagara West-Glanbrook
TCTC - Nickel Belt
Lib - Nipissing-Timiskaming
CPC - Northumberland-Quinte West
TCTC - Oak Ridges-Markham
TCTC - Oakville
TCTC - Oshawa
NDP - Ottawa Centre
TCTC - Ottawa South
TCTC - Ottawa West-Nepean
TCTC - Ottawa-Orléans
Lib - Ottawa-Vanier
CPC - Oxford
TCTC - Parkdale-High Park
TCTC - Parry Sound-Muskoka
CPC - Perth-Wellington
CPC - Peterborough
Lib - Pickering-Scarborough East
CPC - Prince Edward-Hastings
CPC - Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke
Lib - Richmond Hill
TCTC - Sarnia-Lambton
NDP - Sault Ste. Marie
Lib - Scarborough Centre
Lib - Scarborough Southwest
Lib - Scarborough-Agincourt
Lib - Scarborough-Guildwood
Lib - Scarborough-Rouge River
CPC - Simcoe North
CPC - Simcoe-Grey
CPC - St. Catharines
Lib - St. Paul's
CPC - Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry
TCTC - Sudbury
TCTC - Thornhill
TCTC - Thunder Bay-Rainy River
TCTC - Thunder Bay-Superior North
NDP - Timmins-James Bay
Lib - Toronto Centre
NDP - Toronto-Danforth
TCTC - Trinity-Spadina
Lib - Vaughan
TCTC - Welland
CPC - Wellington-Halton Hills
CPC - Whitby-Oshawa
Lib - Willowdale
NDP - Windsor West
NDP - Windsor-Tecumseh
Lib - York Centre
TCTC - York South-Weston
Lib - York West
CPC - York-Simcoe

MANITOBA - CPC 7 -- NDP 3 -- TCTC 4
CPC - Brandon-Souris
CPC - Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia
TCTC - Churchill
CPC - Dauphin-Swan River-Marquette
NDP - Elmwood-Transcona
CPC - Kildonan-St. Paul
CPC - Portage-Lisgar
CPC - Provencher
TCTC - Saint Boniface
CPC - Selkirk-Interlake
NDP - Winnipeg Centre
NDP - Winnipeg North
TCTC - Winnipeg South
TCTC - Winnipeg South Centre

SASKATCHEWAN - CPC 10 -- Lib 1 -- TCTC 3
CPC - Battlefords-Lloydminster
CPC - Blackstrap
CPC - Cypress Hills-Grasslands
TCTC - Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River
TCTC - Palliser
CPC - Prince Albert
CPC - Regina-Lumsden-Lake Centre
CPC - Regina-Qu'Appelle
CPC - Saskatoon-Humboldt
TCTC - Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar
CPC - Saskatoon-Wanuskewin
CPC - Souris-Moose Mountain
Lib - Wascana
CPC - Yorkton-Melville

ALBERTA - CPC 27 -- TCTC 1
CPC - Calgary Centre
CPC - Calgary Centre-North
CPC - Calgary East
CPC - Calgary Northeast
CPC - Calgary Southeast
CPC - Calgary Southwest
CPC - Calgary West
CPC - Calgary-Nose Hill
CPC - Crowfoot
CPC - Edmonton Centre
CPC - Edmonton East
CPC - Edmonton-Leduc
CPC - Edmonton-Mill Woods-Beaumont
CPC - Edmonton-Sherwood Park
CPC - Edmonton-Spruce Grove
CPC - Edmonton-St. Albert
TCTC - Edmonton-Strathcona
CPC - Fort McMurray-Athabasca
CPC - Lethbridge
CPC - Macleod
CPC - Medicine Hat
CPC - Peace River
CPC - Red Deer
CPC - Vegreville-Wainwright
CPC - Westlock-St. Paul
CPC - Wetaskiwin
CPC - Wild Rose
CPC - Yellowhead

BRITISH COLUMBIA - CPC 15 -- NDP 3 -- Lib 2 -- TCTC 16
CPC - Abbotsford
NDP - British Columbia Southern Interior
TCTC - Burnaby-Douglas
TCTC - Burnaby-New Westminster
CPC - Cariboo-Prince George
CPC - Chilliwack-Fraser Canyon
CPC - Delta-Richmond East
TCTC - Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca
CPC - Fleetwood-Port Kells
TCTC - Kamloops-Thompson-Cariboo
CPC - Kelowna-Lake Country
CPC - Kootenay-Columbia
CPC - Langley
CPC - Nanaimo-Alberni
TCTC - Nanaimo-Cowichan
TCTC - New Westminster-Coquitlam
TCTC - Newton-North Delta
TCTC - North Vancouver
CPC - Okanagan-Coquihalla
CPC - Okanagan-Shuswap
TCTC - Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge-Mission
CPC - Port Moody-Westwood-Port Coquitlam
CPC - Prince George-Peace River
TCTC - Richmond
TCTC - Saanich-Gulf Islands
NDP - Skeena-Bulkley Valley
CPC - South Surrey-White Rock-Cloverdale
TCTC - Surrey North
Lib - Vancouver Centre
NDP - Vancouver East
TCTC - Vancouver Island North
TCTC - Vancouver Kingsway
TCTC - Vancouver Quadra
Lib - Vancouver South
TCTC - Victoria
CPC - West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country

TERRITORIES - Lib 1 -- NDP 1 -- TCTC 1
TCTC - Nunavut
NDP - Western Arctic
Lib - Yukon

1 comment:

Charles said...

Hey, I just came across your blog and found it interesting. I agree with many of your predictions but not all, including Ottawa Centre. Being in the riding myself, I've followed the candidates closely and attended many of the debates. I think it will be TCTC between Dewar (NDP) and Collenette (LPC). McGarry (CPC) will be a distant 3rd and Hunter (GP) will not even be on the radar.

If you are going by that crazy poll in The Ottawa Citizen of a mere 250 people in such a huge urban riding, you may be surprised on eday. I'm not saying that the Liberals will win it hands down but I think Penny Collenette (LPC) may surprise us all at the end of the day. I'm predicting a recount in Ottawa Centre