Friday, May 1, 2009

Swine Flu

Or technically "H1N1 Influenza A"

Will it have an impact on the BC election?

Yes. Certainly.

What impact?

That much remains to be seen. What we have done, however is lower the weight of both our baseline and trendline, as we are entering a time when political opinion can shift quickly based on headlines (RE: Quebec 2008 election)

While there are chances that this will help the NDP, if the sitting government is perceived as handling the crisis well, they could in fact be the political beneficiaries. This will, overall, hurt STV and the Greens, as it will draw attention away from them.

Our current projection, however, stands.