Wednesday, April 8, 2009

More on the last poll

After taking a look at the official PDF file for the poll we spoke of earlier, we have been able to reverse engineer a result from the Atlantic provinces:

Lib - 36%
CPC - 35%
NDP - 18%
Grn - 11%

However, since this did not come directly from strategic counsel, and since our methods of reverse engineering can add incongruities, plus the large margin of error that we are likely facing here; we have not added it to the matrix.

New Poll

A new poll reported by CTV (found here) has been added to the matrix. While there were quite a few changes to our popular vote numbers, our seat numbers remain stable, confirming the current'plateau' of support for the Liberals.

Lib - 121
CPC - 115
BQ - 47
NDP - 25

Also in the report, CTV says that "Pollster Peter Donolo of the Strategic Counsel says the Conservatives should be concerned about the trend line, which firmly shows their support dropping and the Liberals' support growing since January." all but indicating that we were spot on with our post from yesterday (before this story broke)

We continue to have confidence in our numbers and our trendlines.