Friday, February 13, 2009

New projection

National numbers are as follows. Provincial numbers will follow shortly.

CPC - 128
Lib - 102
BQ - 45
NDP - 33

Note that we did use the so-called "Green 26% Quebec" poll; however due to our sophisticated weighting system which is designed to weed out these one-offs, the Greens only raised a single percentage point in Quebec, we now project them at 7.22% in that province.

BC election

We've updated our projection for BC

BCL - 51
NDP - 33
GRN - 1

The margin of error is still gargantuan,

BCL - 37-67
NDP - 18-48
GRN - 0-2

We may, or may not, have further projections as the election date nears.

New Polls

There are now enough new polls that we will update our matrix.

Expect this update within the next 24-48 hours

Friday, February 6, 2009

Nova Scotia election 2009

Roomer is that it is right around the corner.

Our projection currently has the following numbers:

NDP - 28-21
PC - 22-16
Lib - 10-6

We project an NDP government, at the moment we feel it may be a majority, but in the event it is a minority, we expect a coalition between the NDP and the Liberals, weather "official" (Dion style) or "unofficial" (David Peterson style)