Thursday, May 21, 2009

NS Election, official projection

We cannot offer guarentees on any seats (due to two things. A - the small number of polls. And B - the small size of ridings, which makes local factors far more important) However we have our first, and likely last, number projection

NDP - 27
PC - 13
Lib - 12

A very narrow NDP majority. Of course our margin of error would see anything between:

NDP - 24-30
PC - 10-17
Lib - 9-16

While we cannot (due to the factors noted above) offer any riding by riding projections of any consequence, we will produce a full provincial map, coloured by party (and even try our hand at a colourblind-friendly version) that has our best guesstimations.

NS Candidate watch

Greens advance

NDP - 44
PC - 41
Lib - 34
Grn - 27
Ind - 3

Looks like all 4 parties will manage full slates. The Tories still have an organizational advantage over the Liberals, and that may come in very important come election day, despite the Liberals being ahead in the polls.