Wednesday, May 13, 2009

How did we do?

Accoring to Sacha Peter of BC2009, we did rather well

While we did not break the pack average for number projections, we were first in riding by riding projections, pending recounts! I will use this experience to further refine the ElectoMatic program I use the project all results.

BC election "results"

BCL - 49 - 46%
NDP - 36 - 42%

There will be recounts.

BC Election, observations

A few things.
It appears as though more voters switched from Green to NDP than we expected. This explains the extra 2-5 seats they are set to win. (At this time we expect a 48-37 split)

The Conservatives are also on track, if current patterns hold, to win 28 thousand votes, compared to 24 thousand for all "other" parties combined. The Greens are set to take 106k, the NDP 543k, and the Liberals 603k. It is still early however.

Edit - Also, STV goes down 40-60 to FPTP (at this stage). BC will be keeping it's current electoral system.