Monday, September 15, 2008

Bloc overtakes NDP in seats

The Bloc Quebecois is projected to win more seats than the NDP. This is partly due to NDP weakness in areas like British Columbia, and a resurgance of Bloc strength in Quebec. The NDP still stands strong in Quebec, we expect them to win two ridings, and there's a small possibility they could take up to five (including that of Bloc leader, Gilles Duceppe!)

The Greens are edging closer to a seat in BC. Not Blair Wilson's seat (that one is going solidly Conservative) but rather the riding of Saanich--Gulf Island where senior Green, Andrew Lewis is running. They are within a few points here and with polls shwoing up to 25% of canadians are willing to vote strategically to defeat the Conservatives, its not out of the realm of possibility that they can win here. Having two MP's in Ottawa will help the Greens emmensley; someone needs to second your bills.

The Greens are also threathening a win in Ontario, in Ottawa Centre. Beyond that, how the recent by-election has changed the field in Guelph remains to be seen, knowing that the Greens are best positioned to unseat the Liberals here, we might find that NDP voters have moved to the Greens. This, of course, remains to be seen.

The Liberals have seen a rebound, and the Tories have dropped from majority status. This is partly due to our updated projection methods in Ontario.

Note that our riding by riding projections have been updated as well.

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