Where do they have a shot at winning seats, and who is in those seats?
Likely to win some of all of these:
Rivere-Du-Loup (Mario Dumont)*
Chutes-De-La-Chaudiere (Marc Picard)*
Lotbiniere (Sylvie Roy)*
Beauce-Nord (Janvier Grondin)*
Chauveau (Gerard Deltell)
Unlikely to hold on to some or all of these:
Beauce-Sud (Claude Morin)
Vanier (Sylvain Legare)
La Peltrie (Éric Caire)**
Montmorency (Hubert Benoit)
Chicoutimi (Jean-Philippe Marin)
Matane (Denis Paquette)
* = one of the 4 members elected in 2003
** = one of the media's so-called "skilled" ADQ members.
Saturday, November 22, 2008
Quebec Election
New poll numbers from Nanos show the ADQ heading towards an unmitigated disaster. We've updated our trendlines.
PLQ - 68
PQ - 54
ADQ - 3
It's not outside of possibility that the ADQ could get shut out this election.
PLQ - 68
PQ - 54
ADQ - 3
It's not outside of possibility that the ADQ could get shut out this election.
Public Transit in Toronto
Historically, this is a Public Transit blog, and we do intend to return to that shortly. Here is a blog entry in that vein.
The TTC has announced that it plans to increase off peak service to now provide service on almost every route, at 30 minute intervals or better, whenever the subway is open. While it is not complete, it does make for a new stronger network that really opens up the entire city to transit service. I work nights. I'm a security guard - IE one of those people who works in the lobby if your office tower who is there when you are not. I head into the downtown core in the late evening and head out during the morning peak when everyone else is rushing the other direction. For me and people like me these service upgrades are a godsend.
The reality is that not everyone works 9-5 at King and Bay. There are hundreds of thousands of us that work off-peak hours throughout the city. Even those who do not will often take transit to go shopping, or to see the doctor, or to visit friends, or to go out with friends for a night on the town. These are all off-peak ventures. If you can easily get to work via transit but cannot use it to go shopping, you are more likely to, when you get money, buy a car. If you have a car, its oh-so-easy to take it to work on a day when you may be running behind, or when it is very cold, or whatever the reason may be. Building a successful transit network is not a quick-fix thing, it is a long term plan for success.
Buses that are empty tomorrow night will, within a few years, fill themselves up, as new arrivals to our city find out they can get around without a car, and therefore do not buy one, and as younger Torontoians who currently take the TTC out of necessity find that they can take it out of convenience as well. This new network literally "opens up" the city. No longer does an off-peak worker have to actively think about where to live, and where he or she can work; this new network opens up all those locations to all sorts of various hours of travel.
The city is almost done. There are a few more steps they could take to make this "perfect". One is to extend this service to every route in the network, 30 minutes or better while the subway is open. This may mean that certain routes need to be 'adjusted'. Take for example the 101 Downsview Park bus. The only passenger I've ever seen on that bus is myself, who took it because I was curious why it's so darn empty. The bus currently runs on a 20 minute headway as its journey only takes 10 minutes each direction. Extending the route and turning it into a loop that reaches Keele and Sheppard, would make it a useful bus for people to use to transfer to the Keele bus. It would, at most, add 10 minutes to the trip making this bus have a 30 minute headway. Another example is the 117 Alness, and the 107 Keele North; not today but in the future. When the YUS subway is extended into the York Region, its almost certain that YRT will take over operations of the 107. Being the biggest money-loser for the TTC, they are wise to cancel the service. While most of the 107 route is close enough to other service for passengers to walk the difference, the service on Chesswood is not. Fortunately, Chesswood is surprisingly close to Alness St and the two routes could be easily combined into one route operating from the new Sheppard West station.
Two is to expand service from 30 minutes at all times into something better. I'm personally a fan of at least 20 minutes to 10pm every day of the week, and at least 15 in the mid-day and peak periods, every day of the week. With this end-goal in mind the TTC could start implementing this service in the busier routes and expand outward. Current dashed-line routes on the map that are "limited service" could be re-designated as routes that run all day ever day but do not follow the 15-20-30 formula.
Three is to make a serious expansion to the Blue Night network. First, the TTC should add more buses to the 300 Bloor and 320 Yonge night routes. These routes should never go below 7:30 service, that means two buses every 15 minutes.
Secondly, service on these routes should be increases when needed, for example a closing-hour for the clubs, and just prior to the opening of the subway, to ensure that true off-peak loading standards (where everyone gets a seat) is maintained. These should be the 'star' routes of the Blue Night Network and should be marketed as such. Next is to increase service on other well-used blue night routes. Perhaps a 20 minute headway on Queen and Eglinton West, if not an outright 15 minute headway on both.
Lastly, the TTC needs to 'fill in the gaps' on the network. This would include a Keele bus, and a Sheppard West bus. While the latter can run the same routing as the daytime, ideally the Keele bus would head into York University, which is a large generator of party-goers at nighttime. Nothing against York, this is true for any University with residence buildings. I also think that bringing night service back to King and Spadina is wise. Money could be saved by keeping Queen at at 30 minute headway but properly scheduling service on King so that arrival time on cross streets like Bathurst or Sherbroune is staggered so that where one streetcar arrives at 3:15am, the other arrives at 3:30am in the same direction. While Queen would make an important connection with the Yonge line, King would make one with Bloor. Additional service on Spadina would also help relieve some of the club crowd. It may even be wise to run a blue night bus into the entertainment district - and I mean into the district itself, not up university and call that the district, I'm talking down Adelaide and Richmond - and then express to various destinations in the city. Beyond this the city should examine bringing service to other routes. Kipling, Kennedy, St.Clair-Kingston-Markham, both Warden and Vic Park separately, and extending Lawrence West to the Airport, and staggering the schedule so that it meshes with Eglinton West's arrivals there.
Once these steps are taken the TTC will find themselves in possession of a seamless network connecting all the corners of the city to one another. While this may be costly, it will build off-peak ridership and help to fill those dreaded "empty buses". Off-peak ridership is important as these services are far less crowded and more comfortable to ride. Peak-heavy systems often leave buses sitting around all day aging by themselves. A successful network needs to run at all times in all places. I can think of no better way to lay the groundwork for the coming Transit City improvements.
For those wishing to read the new service changes for themselves, they are available on the TTC website at http://www3.ttc.ca/Service_Advisories/Service_Changes.jsp
The TTC has announced that it plans to increase off peak service to now provide service on almost every route, at 30 minute intervals or better, whenever the subway is open. While it is not complete, it does make for a new stronger network that really opens up the entire city to transit service. I work nights. I'm a security guard - IE one of those people who works in the lobby if your office tower who is there when you are not. I head into the downtown core in the late evening and head out during the morning peak when everyone else is rushing the other direction. For me and people like me these service upgrades are a godsend.
The reality is that not everyone works 9-5 at King and Bay. There are hundreds of thousands of us that work off-peak hours throughout the city. Even those who do not will often take transit to go shopping, or to see the doctor, or to visit friends, or to go out with friends for a night on the town. These are all off-peak ventures. If you can easily get to work via transit but cannot use it to go shopping, you are more likely to, when you get money, buy a car. If you have a car, its oh-so-easy to take it to work on a day when you may be running behind, or when it is very cold, or whatever the reason may be. Building a successful transit network is not a quick-fix thing, it is a long term plan for success.
Buses that are empty tomorrow night will, within a few years, fill themselves up, as new arrivals to our city find out they can get around without a car, and therefore do not buy one, and as younger Torontoians who currently take the TTC out of necessity find that they can take it out of convenience as well. This new network literally "opens up" the city. No longer does an off-peak worker have to actively think about where to live, and where he or she can work; this new network opens up all those locations to all sorts of various hours of travel.
The city is almost done. There are a few more steps they could take to make this "perfect". One is to extend this service to every route in the network, 30 minutes or better while the subway is open. This may mean that certain routes need to be 'adjusted'. Take for example the 101 Downsview Park bus. The only passenger I've ever seen on that bus is myself, who took it because I was curious why it's so darn empty. The bus currently runs on a 20 minute headway as its journey only takes 10 minutes each direction. Extending the route and turning it into a loop that reaches Keele and Sheppard, would make it a useful bus for people to use to transfer to the Keele bus. It would, at most, add 10 minutes to the trip making this bus have a 30 minute headway. Another example is the 117 Alness, and the 107 Keele North; not today but in the future. When the YUS subway is extended into the York Region, its almost certain that YRT will take over operations of the 107. Being the biggest money-loser for the TTC, they are wise to cancel the service. While most of the 107 route is close enough to other service for passengers to walk the difference, the service on Chesswood is not. Fortunately, Chesswood is surprisingly close to Alness St and the two routes could be easily combined into one route operating from the new Sheppard West station.
Two is to expand service from 30 minutes at all times into something better. I'm personally a fan of at least 20 minutes to 10pm every day of the week, and at least 15 in the mid-day and peak periods, every day of the week. With this end-goal in mind the TTC could start implementing this service in the busier routes and expand outward. Current dashed-line routes on the map that are "limited service" could be re-designated as routes that run all day ever day but do not follow the 15-20-30 formula.
Three is to make a serious expansion to the Blue Night network. First, the TTC should add more buses to the 300 Bloor and 320 Yonge night routes. These routes should never go below 7:30 service, that means two buses every 15 minutes.
Secondly, service on these routes should be increases when needed, for example a closing-hour for the clubs, and just prior to the opening of the subway, to ensure that true off-peak loading standards (where everyone gets a seat) is maintained. These should be the 'star' routes of the Blue Night Network and should be marketed as such. Next is to increase service on other well-used blue night routes. Perhaps a 20 minute headway on Queen and Eglinton West, if not an outright 15 minute headway on both.
Lastly, the TTC needs to 'fill in the gaps' on the network. This would include a Keele bus, and a Sheppard West bus. While the latter can run the same routing as the daytime, ideally the Keele bus would head into York University, which is a large generator of party-goers at nighttime. Nothing against York, this is true for any University with residence buildings. I also think that bringing night service back to King and Spadina is wise. Money could be saved by keeping Queen at at 30 minute headway but properly scheduling service on King so that arrival time on cross streets like Bathurst or Sherbroune is staggered so that where one streetcar arrives at 3:15am, the other arrives at 3:30am in the same direction. While Queen would make an important connection with the Yonge line, King would make one with Bloor. Additional service on Spadina would also help relieve some of the club crowd. It may even be wise to run a blue night bus into the entertainment district - and I mean into the district itself, not up university and call that the district, I'm talking down Adelaide and Richmond - and then express to various destinations in the city. Beyond this the city should examine bringing service to other routes. Kipling, Kennedy, St.Clair-Kingston-Markham, both Warden and Vic Park separately, and extending Lawrence West to the Airport, and staggering the schedule so that it meshes with Eglinton West's arrivals there.
Once these steps are taken the TTC will find themselves in possession of a seamless network connecting all the corners of the city to one another. While this may be costly, it will build off-peak ridership and help to fill those dreaded "empty buses". Off-peak ridership is important as these services are far less crowded and more comfortable to ride. Peak-heavy systems often leave buses sitting around all day aging by themselves. A successful network needs to run at all times in all places. I can think of no better way to lay the groundwork for the coming Transit City improvements.
For those wishing to read the new service changes for themselves, they are available on the TTC website at http://www3.ttc.ca/Service_Advisories/Service_Changes.jsp
Friday, November 21, 2008
Quebec Election Projection
Another 'rough' projection, given the general decline in the ADQ without any sign that things will pick up.
PLQ - 65
PQ - 54
ADQ - 6
PLQ - 65
PQ - 54
ADQ - 6
Friday, November 14, 2008
New website for the Quebec Election
The website at http://www.threehundredeight.blogspot.com/ seems to have its act together. We recommend adding it to your bookmarks if you plan on following the election.
Monday, November 10, 2008
Quebec Election pt2
Our current "Seat" projections (which will have accuracy problems due to the small number of polls expected, and uniqueness of the Quebec situation) currently show the following results:
PLQ - 63
PQ - 54
ADQ - 8
For the ADQ we have Dumont winning his seat, and 6 others joining him from the Quebec City/Levis area. Of the ADQ "frontbench" team (IE the so-called stars of the party) we currently only see Caire being re-elected by the narrowest of margins, while Taillon, Morissette, and Proulx go down to defeat, and
PLQ - 63
PQ - 54
ADQ - 8
For the ADQ we have Dumont winning his seat, and 6 others joining him from the Quebec City/Levis area. Of the ADQ "frontbench" team (IE the so-called stars of the party) we currently only see Caire being re-elected by the narrowest of margins, while Taillon, Morissette, and Proulx go down to defeat, and
Quebec election
We are planning to do some minor tracking of the Quebec election. We've run the current numbers, and they tell us the ADQ will be reduced to less than a dozen seats, with the Liberals holding a narrow majority. More to come.
Wednesday, October 15, 2008
Riding tracker.
Note that Democratic Space updated thier last projections since we took note, so some of this may be off. Prelim numbers are as follows:
Avalon
We were right, as was EP. DS was off.
Central Nova - We were wrong
South Shore - We and EP were wrong
Tobique - We were wrong
Charlesbourg - We were wrong
Brossard - We were wrong (narrowly)
Hull - We were wrong
Roberval - DS was wrong, we and EP were right.
Beaches - We were wrong
Mississauga South - We and EP were wrong, DS was right
Welland - We were right
Brant - We were wrong
London West - We were right
Kenora - We were wrong, but so were they (It went CPC)
Saint Boniface - We were right
Palliser - we were wrong
Vancouver Kingsway - we were wrong, so was DS
Esquaimalt - We were wrong
Saanich - We were right, so was DS
Surrey North - We were wrong
Newton - We were wrong, so was DS
Nunavut - We were right, so was DS
So that's 17 to 6. There were a number of ridings (Mirimichi for example) that we were all wrong about. Regardless, this has unfortuantly been a failure and we have failed to acheive our goal of correctly predicting the election against the other major prediction websites, and all of us failed to predict the size of the tory minority.
Avalon
We were right, as was EP. DS was off.
Central Nova - We were wrong
South Shore - We and EP were wrong
Tobique - We were wrong
Charlesbourg - We were wrong
Brossard - We were wrong (narrowly)
Hull - We were wrong
Roberval - DS was wrong, we and EP were right.
Beaches - We were wrong
Mississauga South - We and EP were wrong, DS was right
Welland - We were right
Brant - We were wrong
London West - We were right
Kenora - We were wrong, but so were they (It went CPC)
Saint Boniface - We were right
Palliser - we were wrong
Vancouver Kingsway - we were wrong, so was DS
Esquaimalt - We were wrong
Saanich - We were right, so was DS
Surrey North - We were wrong
Newton - We were wrong, so was DS
Nunavut - We were right, so was DS
So that's 17 to 6. There were a number of ridings (Mirimichi for example) that we were all wrong about. Regardless, this has unfortuantly been a failure and we have failed to acheive our goal of correctly predicting the election against the other major prediction websites, and all of us failed to predict the size of the tory minority.
Labels:
canadian election 2008,
election projection,
ridings
Tuesday, October 14, 2008
How very embarrassing
It appears I've added my own ridings wrong. This is a huge embarrassment to myself, but in the interest of honesty, I will report the proper adding. I apologize for this amateurish mistake.
126 - Conservative Party of Stephen Harper
88 - Liberal Party of Stephane Dion
51 - Bloc Quebecois of Gilles Duceppe
40 - New Democratic Party of Jack Layton
1 - Green Party of Elizabeth May
2 - Independents (Casey and Arthur)
126 - Conservative Party of Stephen Harper
88 - Liberal Party of Stephane Dion
51 - Bloc Quebecois of Gilles Duceppe
40 - New Democratic Party of Jack Layton
1 - Green Party of Elizabeth May
2 - Independents (Casey and Arthur)
Numbers in comparison
Please note the following - Blogger will be unavailable Tuesday (10/14) at 8:00PM PDT for about 10 minutes for maintenance.
*table removed due to errors*
*table removed due to errors*
Monday, October 13, 2008
Different numbers.
I will compare my numbers to those of the other major "predicto" sites out there. www.electionprediction.org, and www.democraticspace.com
Our final numbers:
124 - Conservative Party of Stephen Harper
88 - Liberal Party of Stephane Dion
51 - Bloc Quebecois of Gilles Duceppe
42 - New Democratic Party of Jack Layton
1 - Green Party of Elizabeth May
2 - Independents (Casey and Arthur)
EP's final numbers:
125 - Conservative Party of Stephen Harper
94 - Liberal Party of Stephane Dion
51 - Bloc Quebecois of Gilles Duceppe
36 - New Democratic Party of Jack Layton
2 - Independents (Casey and Arthur)
DS's final numbers:
128 - Conservative Party of Stephen Harper
92 - Liberal Party of Stephane Dion
52 - Bloc Quebecois of Gilles Duceppe
34 - New Democratic Party of Jack Layton
2 - Independents (Casey and Arthur)
One thing to note is we are the only ones calling for a Green seat. I'll consider this a personal victory for our projections even if we are farther off in other respects.
So where do we disagree? I will outline every riding where we disagree with one or both of these other predictions.
DS = Democratic Space
EP = Electionprediction
NX = niXtuff
Newfoundland
DS has Avalon going CPC. EP and NX have it going Liberal.
Nova Scotia
DS and EP have Central Nova going CPC, NX has it going Green
DS has South Shore going CPC, NX and EP have it going NDP
New Brunswick
DS and EP have Tobique going CPC, NX has it going Lib
Quebec
DS and EP have Charlesbourg going CPC, NX has it going BQ
DS has Roberval going BQ, NX and EP have it going CPC
DS and EP have Hull going Lib, NX has it going NDP
DS and EP have Brossard going BQ, NX has it going Lib
Ontario
DS and EP have Beaches going Lib, NX has it going NDP
DS has Mississauga South going Lib, NX and EP have it going CPC
EP has Halton going CPC, DS and NX have it going Lib
DS and EP have Welland going Lib, NX has it going NDP
DS and EP have Brant going CPC, NX has it going Lib
DS and EP have London West going Lib, NX has it going CPC
DS and EP have Kenora going Lib, NX has it going NDP
Manitoba
DS and EP have Saint Boniface going Lib, NX has it going CPC
Saskatchewan
DS and EP have Palliser going CPC, NX has it going NDP
British Columbia
EP has Vancouver Kingsway going NDP, DS and NX have it going Lib
DS and EP have Esquaimalt going Lib, NX has it going CPC
EP has Saanich going Lib, DS and NX have it going CPC
DS and EP have Surrey North going CPC, NX has it going NDP
EP has Newton going Lib, DS and NX have it going CPC
Territories
EP has Nunavut going Lib, DS and NX have it going CPC
I'll keep a tally on these ridings on election night (as well as limited live blogging when the polls in BC close) and post who was right.
Our final numbers:
124 - Conservative Party of Stephen Harper
88 - Liberal Party of Stephane Dion
51 - Bloc Quebecois of Gilles Duceppe
42 - New Democratic Party of Jack Layton
1 - Green Party of Elizabeth May
2 - Independents (Casey and Arthur)
EP's final numbers:
125 - Conservative Party of Stephen Harper
94 - Liberal Party of Stephane Dion
51 - Bloc Quebecois of Gilles Duceppe
36 - New Democratic Party of Jack Layton
2 - Independents (Casey and Arthur)
DS's final numbers:
128 - Conservative Party of Stephen Harper
92 - Liberal Party of Stephane Dion
52 - Bloc Quebecois of Gilles Duceppe
34 - New Democratic Party of Jack Layton
2 - Independents (Casey and Arthur)
One thing to note is we are the only ones calling for a Green seat. I'll consider this a personal victory for our projections even if we are farther off in other respects.
So where do we disagree? I will outline every riding where we disagree with one or both of these other predictions.
DS = Democratic Space
EP = Electionprediction
NX = niXtuff
Newfoundland
DS has Avalon going CPC. EP and NX have it going Liberal.
Nova Scotia
DS and EP have Central Nova going CPC, NX has it going Green
DS has South Shore going CPC, NX and EP have it going NDP
New Brunswick
DS and EP have Tobique going CPC, NX has it going Lib
Quebec
DS and EP have Charlesbourg going CPC, NX has it going BQ
DS has Roberval going BQ, NX and EP have it going CPC
DS and EP have Hull going Lib, NX has it going NDP
DS and EP have Brossard going BQ, NX has it going Lib
Ontario
DS and EP have Beaches going Lib, NX has it going NDP
DS has Mississauga South going Lib, NX and EP have it going CPC
EP has Halton going CPC, DS and NX have it going Lib
DS and EP have Welland going Lib, NX has it going NDP
DS and EP have Brant going CPC, NX has it going Lib
DS and EP have London West going Lib, NX has it going CPC
DS and EP have Kenora going Lib, NX has it going NDP
Manitoba
DS and EP have Saint Boniface going Lib, NX has it going CPC
Saskatchewan
DS and EP have Palliser going CPC, NX has it going NDP
British Columbia
EP has Vancouver Kingsway going NDP, DS and NX have it going Lib
DS and EP have Esquaimalt going Lib, NX has it going CPC
EP has Saanich going Lib, DS and NX have it going CPC
DS and EP have Surrey North going CPC, NX has it going NDP
EP has Newton going Lib, DS and NX have it going CPC
Territories
EP has Nunavut going Lib, DS and NX have it going CPC
I'll keep a tally on these ridings on election night (as well as limited live blogging when the polls in BC close) and post who was right.
Labels:
canadian election 2008,
election projection,
ridings
Sunday, October 12, 2008
Final Numbers
124 - Conservative Party of Stephen Harper
88 - Liberal Party of Stephane Dion
51 - Bloc Quebecois of Gilles Duceppe
42 - New Democratic Party of Jack Layton
1 - Green Party of Elizabeth May
2 - Independents (Casey and Arthur)
88 - Liberal Party of Stephane Dion
51 - Bloc Quebecois of Gilles Duceppe
42 - New Democratic Party of Jack Layton
1 - Green Party of Elizabeth May
2 - Independents (Casey and Arthur)
FINAL RIDING LIST
NEWFOUDNLAND - Lib 6 -- NDP 1
Lib - Avalon
Lib - Bonavista-Gander-Grand Falls-Windsor
Lib - Humber-St. Barbe-Baie Verte
Lib - Labrador
Lib - Random-Burin-St. George's
NDP - St. John's East
Lib - St. John's South-Mount Pearl
PEI - Lib 4
Lib - Cardigan
Lib - Charlottetown
Lib - Egmont
Lib - Malpeque
NOVA SCOTIA - Lib 6 -- NDP 3 -- Grn 1 -- IND 1
Lib - Cape Breton-Canso
Grn - Central Nova
IND - Cumberland-Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley
Lib - Dartmouth-Cole Harbour
NDP - Halifax
Lib - Halifax West
Lib - Kings-Hants
NDP - Sackville-Eastern Shore
NDP - South Shore-St. Margaret's
Lib - Sydney-Victoria
Lib - West Nova
NEW BRUNSWICK - Lib 7 -- CPC 2 -- NDP 1
NDP - Acadie-Bathurst
Lib - Beauséjour
Lib - Fredericton
CPC - Fundy Royal
Lib - Madawaska-Restigouche
Lib - Miramichi
Lib - Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe
CPC - New Brunswick Southwest
Lib - Saint John
Lib - Tobique-Mactaquac
QUEBEC - BQ 51 -- Lib 14 -- CPC 7 -- NDP 2 -- IND 1
BQ - Abitibi-Baie-James-Nunavik-Eeyou
BQ - Abitibi-Témiscamingue
Lib - Ahuntsic
BQ - Alfred-Pellan
BQ - Argenteuil-Papineau-Mirabel
BQ - Bas-Richelieu-Nicolet-Bécancour
CPC - Beauce
BQ - Beauharnois-Salaberry
BQ - Beauport-Limoilou
BQ - Berthier-Maskinongé
Lib - Bourassa
BQ - Brome-Missisquoi
Lib - Brossard-La Prairie
BQ - Chambly-Borduas
BQ - Charlesbourg-Haute-Saint-Charles
BQ - Châteauguay-Saint-Constant
BQ - Chicoutimi-Le Fjord
BQ - Compton-Stanstead
BQ - Drummond
BQ - Gaspésie-Îles-de-la-Madeleine
BQ - Gatineau
BQ - Haute-Gaspésie-La Mitis-Matane-Matapédia
BQ - Hochelaga
Lib - Honoré-Mercier
NDP - Hull-Aylmer
BQ - Jeanne-Le Ber
BQ - Joliette
BQ - Jonquière-Alma
BQ - La Pointe-de-l'Île
Lib - Lac-Saint-Louis
Lib - LaSalle-Émard
BQ - Laurentides-Labelle
BQ - Laurier-Sainte-Marie
BQ - Laval
Lib - Laval-Les Îles
CPC - Lévis-Bellechasse
BQ - Longueuil-Pierre-Boucher
BQ - Lotbinière-Chutes-de-la-Chaudière
BQ - Louis-Hébert
CPC - Louis-Saint-Laurent
BQ - Manicouagan
BQ - Marc-Aurèle-Fortin
CPC - Mégantic-L'Érable
BQ - Montcalm
BQ - Montmagny-L'Islet-Kamouraska-Rivière-du-Loup
BQ - Montmorency-Charlevoix-Haute-Côte-Nord
Lib - Mount Royal
Lib - Notre-Dame-de-Grâce-Lachine
NDP - Outremont
Lib - Papineau
Lib - Pierrefonds-Dollard
CPC - Pontiac
IND - Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier
BQ - Québec
BQ - Repentigny
BQ - Richmond-Arthabaska
BQ - Rimouski-Neigette-Témiscouata-Les Basques
BQ - Rivière-des-Mille-Îles
BQ - Rivière-du-Nord
CPC - Roberval-Lac-Saint-Jean
BQ - Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie
BQ - Saint-Bruno-Saint-Hubert
BQ - Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot
BQ - Saint-Jean
BQ - Saint-Lambert
Lib - Saint-Laurent-Cartierville
Lib - Saint-Léonard-Saint-Michel
BQ - Saint-Maurice-Champlain
BQ - Shefford
BQ - Sherbrooke
BQ - Terrebonne-Blainville
BQ - Trois-Rivières
BQ - Vaudreuil-Soulanges
BQ - Verchères-Les Patriotes
Lib - Westmount-Ville-Marie
ONTARIO - CPC 44 -- Lib 43 -- NDP 19
Lib - Ajax-Pickering
NDP - Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing
CPC - Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale
CPC - Barrie
NDP - Beaches-East York
Lib - Bramalea-Gore-Malton
Lib - Brampton West
Lib - Brampton-Springdale
Lib - Brant
CPC - Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound
CPC - Burlington
CPC - Cambridge
CPC - Carleton-Mississippi Mills
CPC - Chatham-Kent-Essex
Lib - Davenport
Lib - Don Valley East
Lib - Don Valley West
CPC - Dufferin-Caledon
CPC - Durham
Lib - Eglinton-Lawrence
CPC - Elgin-Middlesex-London
CPC - Essex
Lib - Etobicoke Centre
Lib - Etobicoke North
Lib - Etobicoke-Lakeshore
CPC - Glengarry-Prescott-Russell
Lib - Guelph
CPC - Haldimand-Norfolk
CPC - Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock
Lib - Halton
NDP - Hamilton Centre
NDP - Hamilton East-Stoney Creek
NDP - Hamilton Mountain
CPC - Huron-Bruce
NDP - Kenora
Lib - Kingston and the Islands
Lib - Kitchener Centre
CPC - Kitchener-Conestoga
Lib - Kitchener-Waterloo
CPC - Lambton-Kent-Middlesex
CPC - Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington
CPC - Leeds-Grenville
Lib - London North Centre
CPC - London West
NDP - London-Fanshawe
Lib - Markham-Unionville
Lib - Mississauga East-Cooksville
CPC - Mississauga South
Lib - Mississauga-Brampton South
Lib - Mississauga-Erindale
Lib - Mississauga-Streetsville
CPC - Nepean-Carleton
CPC - Newmarket-Aurora
CPC - Niagara Falls
CPC - Niagara West-Glanbrook
NDP - Nickel Belt
Lib - Nipissing-Timiskaming
CPC - Northumberland-Quinte West
Lib - Oak Ridges-Markham
CPC - Oakville
CPC - Oshawa
NDP - Ottawa Centre
Lib - Ottawa South
CPC - Ottawa West-Nepean
CPC - Ottawa-Orléans
Lib - Ottawa-Vanier
CPC - Oxford
NDP - Parkdale-High Park
CPC - Parry Sound-Muskoka
CPC - Perth-Wellington
CPC - Peterborough
Lib - Pickering-Scarborough East
CPC - Prince Edward-Hastings
CPC - Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke
Lib - Richmond Hill
CPC - Sarnia-Lambton
NDP - Sault Ste. Marie
Lib - Scarborough Centre
Lib - Scarborough Southwest
Lib - Scarborough-Agincourt
Lib - Scarborough-Guildwood
Lib - Scarborough-Rouge River
CPC - Simcoe North
CPC - Simcoe-Grey
CPC - St. Catharines
Lib - St. Paul's
CPC - Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry
Lib - Sudbury
Lib - Thornhill
NDP - Thunder Bay-Rainy River
NDP - Thunder Bay-Superior North
NDP - Timmins-James Bay
Lib - Toronto Centre
NDP - Toronto-Danforth
NDP - Trinity-Spadina
Lib - Vaughan
NDP - Welland
CPC - Wellington-Halton Hills
CPC - Whitby-Oshawa
Lib - Willowdale
NDP - Windsor West
NDP - Windsor-Tecumseh
Lib - York Centre
Lib - York South-Weston
Lib - York West
CPC - York-Simcoe
MANITOBA - CPC 9 -- NDP 5 -- Lib 2
CPC - Brandon-Souris
CPC - Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia
Lib - Churchill
CPC - Dauphin-Swan River-Marquette
NDP - Elmwood-Transcona
CPC - Kildonan-St. Paul
CPC - Portage-Lisgar
CPC - Provencher
CPC - Saint Boniface
CPC - Selkirk-Interlake
NDP - Winnipeg Centre
NDP - Winnipeg North
CPC - Winnipeg South
Lib - Winnipeg South Centre
SASKATCHEWAN - CPC 11 -- Lib 1 -- NDP 2
CPC - Battlefords-Lloydminster
CPC - Blackstrap
CPC - Cypress Hills-Grasslands
CPC - Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River
NDP - Palliser
CPC - Prince Albert
CPC - Regina-Lumsden-Lake Centre
CPC - Regina-Qu'Appelle
CPC - Saskatoon-Humboldt
NDP - Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar
CPC - Saskatoon-Wanuskewin
CPC - Souris-Moose Mountain
Lib - Wascana
CPC - Yorkton-Melville
ALBERTA - CPC 28
CPC - Calgary Centre
CPC - Calgary Centre-North
CPC - Calgary East
CPC - Calgary Northeast
CPC - Calgary Southeast
CPC - Calgary Southwest
CPC - Calgary West
CPC - Calgary-Nose Hill
CPC - Crowfoot
CPC - Edmonton Centre
CPC - Edmonton East
CPC - Edmonton-Leduc
CPC - Edmonton-Mill Woods-Beaumont
CPC - Edmonton-Sherwood Park
CPC - Edmonton-Spruce Grove
CPC - Edmonton-St. Albert
CPC - Edmonton-Strathcona
CPC - Fort McMurray-Athabasca
CPC - Lethbridge
CPC - Macleod
CPC - Medicine Hat
CPC - Peace River
CPC - Red Deer
CPC - Vegreville-Wainwright
CPC - Westlock-St. Paul
CPC - Wetaskiwin
CPC - Wild Rose
CPC - Yellowhead
BRITISH COLUMBIA - CPC 24 -- NDP 8 -- Lib 4
CPC - Abbotsford
NDP - British Columbia Southern Interior
NDP - Burnaby-Douglas
NDP - Burnaby-New Westminster
CPC - Cariboo-Prince George
CPC - Chilliwack-Fraser Canyon
CPC - Delta-Richmond East
CPC - Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca
CPC - Fleetwood-Port Kells
CPC - Kamloops-Thompson-Cariboo
CPC - Kelowna-Lake Country
CPC - Kootenay-Columbia
CPC - Langley
CPC - Nanaimo-Alberni
NDP - Nanaimo-Cowichan
CPC - New Westminster-Coquitlam
CPC - Newton-North Delta
CPC - North Vancouver
CPC - Okanagan-Coquihalla
CPC - Okanagan-Shuswap
CPC - Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge-Mission
CPC - Port Moody-Westwood-Port Coquitlam
CPC - Prince George-Peace River
CPC - Richmond
CPC - Saanich-Gulf Islands
NDP - Skeena-Bulkley Valley
CPC - South Surrey-White Rock-Cloverdale
NDP - Surrey North
Lib - Vancouver Centre
NDP - Vancouver East
CPC - Vancouver Island North
Lib - Vancouver Kingsway
Lib - Vancouver Quadra
Lib - Vancouver South
NDP - Victoria
CPC - West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country
Lib - Yukon
NDP - Western Arctic
CPC - Nunuvut
Lib - Avalon
Lib - Bonavista-Gander-Grand Falls-Windsor
Lib - Humber-St. Barbe-Baie Verte
Lib - Labrador
Lib - Random-Burin-St. George's
NDP - St. John's East
Lib - St. John's South-Mount Pearl
PEI - Lib 4
Lib - Cardigan
Lib - Charlottetown
Lib - Egmont
Lib - Malpeque
NOVA SCOTIA - Lib 6 -- NDP 3 -- Grn 1 -- IND 1
Lib - Cape Breton-Canso
Grn - Central Nova
IND - Cumberland-Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley
Lib - Dartmouth-Cole Harbour
NDP - Halifax
Lib - Halifax West
Lib - Kings-Hants
NDP - Sackville-Eastern Shore
NDP - South Shore-St. Margaret's
Lib - Sydney-Victoria
Lib - West Nova
NEW BRUNSWICK - Lib 7 -- CPC 2 -- NDP 1
NDP - Acadie-Bathurst
Lib - Beauséjour
Lib - Fredericton
CPC - Fundy Royal
Lib - Madawaska-Restigouche
Lib - Miramichi
Lib - Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe
CPC - New Brunswick Southwest
Lib - Saint John
Lib - Tobique-Mactaquac
QUEBEC - BQ 51 -- Lib 14 -- CPC 7 -- NDP 2 -- IND 1
BQ - Abitibi-Baie-James-Nunavik-Eeyou
BQ - Abitibi-Témiscamingue
Lib - Ahuntsic
BQ - Alfred-Pellan
BQ - Argenteuil-Papineau-Mirabel
BQ - Bas-Richelieu-Nicolet-Bécancour
CPC - Beauce
BQ - Beauharnois-Salaberry
BQ - Beauport-Limoilou
BQ - Berthier-Maskinongé
Lib - Bourassa
BQ - Brome-Missisquoi
Lib - Brossard-La Prairie
BQ - Chambly-Borduas
BQ - Charlesbourg-Haute-Saint-Charles
BQ - Châteauguay-Saint-Constant
BQ - Chicoutimi-Le Fjord
BQ - Compton-Stanstead
BQ - Drummond
BQ - Gaspésie-Îles-de-la-Madeleine
BQ - Gatineau
BQ - Haute-Gaspésie-La Mitis-Matane-Matapédia
BQ - Hochelaga
Lib - Honoré-Mercier
NDP - Hull-Aylmer
BQ - Jeanne-Le Ber
BQ - Joliette
BQ - Jonquière-Alma
BQ - La Pointe-de-l'Île
Lib - Lac-Saint-Louis
Lib - LaSalle-Émard
BQ - Laurentides-Labelle
BQ - Laurier-Sainte-Marie
BQ - Laval
Lib - Laval-Les Îles
CPC - Lévis-Bellechasse
BQ - Longueuil-Pierre-Boucher
BQ - Lotbinière-Chutes-de-la-Chaudière
BQ - Louis-Hébert
CPC - Louis-Saint-Laurent
BQ - Manicouagan
BQ - Marc-Aurèle-Fortin
CPC - Mégantic-L'Érable
BQ - Montcalm
BQ - Montmagny-L'Islet-Kamouraska-Rivière-du-Loup
BQ - Montmorency-Charlevoix-Haute-Côte-Nord
Lib - Mount Royal
Lib - Notre-Dame-de-Grâce-Lachine
NDP - Outremont
Lib - Papineau
Lib - Pierrefonds-Dollard
CPC - Pontiac
IND - Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier
BQ - Québec
BQ - Repentigny
BQ - Richmond-Arthabaska
BQ - Rimouski-Neigette-Témiscouata-Les Basques
BQ - Rivière-des-Mille-Îles
BQ - Rivière-du-Nord
CPC - Roberval-Lac-Saint-Jean
BQ - Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie
BQ - Saint-Bruno-Saint-Hubert
BQ - Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot
BQ - Saint-Jean
BQ - Saint-Lambert
Lib - Saint-Laurent-Cartierville
Lib - Saint-Léonard-Saint-Michel
BQ - Saint-Maurice-Champlain
BQ - Shefford
BQ - Sherbrooke
BQ - Terrebonne-Blainville
BQ - Trois-Rivières
BQ - Vaudreuil-Soulanges
BQ - Verchères-Les Patriotes
Lib - Westmount-Ville-Marie
ONTARIO - CPC 44 -- Lib 43 -- NDP 19
Lib - Ajax-Pickering
NDP - Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing
CPC - Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale
CPC - Barrie
NDP - Beaches-East York
Lib - Bramalea-Gore-Malton
Lib - Brampton West
Lib - Brampton-Springdale
Lib - Brant
CPC - Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound
CPC - Burlington
CPC - Cambridge
CPC - Carleton-Mississippi Mills
CPC - Chatham-Kent-Essex
Lib - Davenport
Lib - Don Valley East
Lib - Don Valley West
CPC - Dufferin-Caledon
CPC - Durham
Lib - Eglinton-Lawrence
CPC - Elgin-Middlesex-London
CPC - Essex
Lib - Etobicoke Centre
Lib - Etobicoke North
Lib - Etobicoke-Lakeshore
CPC - Glengarry-Prescott-Russell
Lib - Guelph
CPC - Haldimand-Norfolk
CPC - Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock
Lib - Halton
NDP - Hamilton Centre
NDP - Hamilton East-Stoney Creek
NDP - Hamilton Mountain
CPC - Huron-Bruce
NDP - Kenora
Lib - Kingston and the Islands
Lib - Kitchener Centre
CPC - Kitchener-Conestoga
Lib - Kitchener-Waterloo
CPC - Lambton-Kent-Middlesex
CPC - Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington
CPC - Leeds-Grenville
Lib - London North Centre
CPC - London West
NDP - London-Fanshawe
Lib - Markham-Unionville
Lib - Mississauga East-Cooksville
CPC - Mississauga South
Lib - Mississauga-Brampton South
Lib - Mississauga-Erindale
Lib - Mississauga-Streetsville
CPC - Nepean-Carleton
CPC - Newmarket-Aurora
CPC - Niagara Falls
CPC - Niagara West-Glanbrook
NDP - Nickel Belt
Lib - Nipissing-Timiskaming
CPC - Northumberland-Quinte West
Lib - Oak Ridges-Markham
CPC - Oakville
CPC - Oshawa
NDP - Ottawa Centre
Lib - Ottawa South
CPC - Ottawa West-Nepean
CPC - Ottawa-Orléans
Lib - Ottawa-Vanier
CPC - Oxford
NDP - Parkdale-High Park
CPC - Parry Sound-Muskoka
CPC - Perth-Wellington
CPC - Peterborough
Lib - Pickering-Scarborough East
CPC - Prince Edward-Hastings
CPC - Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke
Lib - Richmond Hill
CPC - Sarnia-Lambton
NDP - Sault Ste. Marie
Lib - Scarborough Centre
Lib - Scarborough Southwest
Lib - Scarborough-Agincourt
Lib - Scarborough-Guildwood
Lib - Scarborough-Rouge River
CPC - Simcoe North
CPC - Simcoe-Grey
CPC - St. Catharines
Lib - St. Paul's
CPC - Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry
Lib - Sudbury
Lib - Thornhill
NDP - Thunder Bay-Rainy River
NDP - Thunder Bay-Superior North
NDP - Timmins-James Bay
Lib - Toronto Centre
NDP - Toronto-Danforth
NDP - Trinity-Spadina
Lib - Vaughan
NDP - Welland
CPC - Wellington-Halton Hills
CPC - Whitby-Oshawa
Lib - Willowdale
NDP - Windsor West
NDP - Windsor-Tecumseh
Lib - York Centre
Lib - York South-Weston
Lib - York West
CPC - York-Simcoe
MANITOBA - CPC 9 -- NDP 5 -- Lib 2
CPC - Brandon-Souris
CPC - Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia
Lib - Churchill
CPC - Dauphin-Swan River-Marquette
NDP - Elmwood-Transcona
CPC - Kildonan-St. Paul
CPC - Portage-Lisgar
CPC - Provencher
CPC - Saint Boniface
CPC - Selkirk-Interlake
NDP - Winnipeg Centre
NDP - Winnipeg North
CPC - Winnipeg South
Lib - Winnipeg South Centre
SASKATCHEWAN - CPC 11 -- Lib 1 -- NDP 2
CPC - Battlefords-Lloydminster
CPC - Blackstrap
CPC - Cypress Hills-Grasslands
CPC - Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River
NDP - Palliser
CPC - Prince Albert
CPC - Regina-Lumsden-Lake Centre
CPC - Regina-Qu'Appelle
CPC - Saskatoon-Humboldt
NDP - Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar
CPC - Saskatoon-Wanuskewin
CPC - Souris-Moose Mountain
Lib - Wascana
CPC - Yorkton-Melville
ALBERTA - CPC 28
CPC - Calgary Centre
CPC - Calgary Centre-North
CPC - Calgary East
CPC - Calgary Northeast
CPC - Calgary Southeast
CPC - Calgary Southwest
CPC - Calgary West
CPC - Calgary-Nose Hill
CPC - Crowfoot
CPC - Edmonton Centre
CPC - Edmonton East
CPC - Edmonton-Leduc
CPC - Edmonton-Mill Woods-Beaumont
CPC - Edmonton-Sherwood Park
CPC - Edmonton-Spruce Grove
CPC - Edmonton-St. Albert
CPC - Edmonton-Strathcona
CPC - Fort McMurray-Athabasca
CPC - Lethbridge
CPC - Macleod
CPC - Medicine Hat
CPC - Peace River
CPC - Red Deer
CPC - Vegreville-Wainwright
CPC - Westlock-St. Paul
CPC - Wetaskiwin
CPC - Wild Rose
CPC - Yellowhead
BRITISH COLUMBIA - CPC 24 -- NDP 8 -- Lib 4
CPC - Abbotsford
NDP - British Columbia Southern Interior
NDP - Burnaby-Douglas
NDP - Burnaby-New Westminster
CPC - Cariboo-Prince George
CPC - Chilliwack-Fraser Canyon
CPC - Delta-Richmond East
CPC - Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca
CPC - Fleetwood-Port Kells
CPC - Kamloops-Thompson-Cariboo
CPC - Kelowna-Lake Country
CPC - Kootenay-Columbia
CPC - Langley
CPC - Nanaimo-Alberni
NDP - Nanaimo-Cowichan
CPC - New Westminster-Coquitlam
CPC - Newton-North Delta
CPC - North Vancouver
CPC - Okanagan-Coquihalla
CPC - Okanagan-Shuswap
CPC - Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge-Mission
CPC - Port Moody-Westwood-Port Coquitlam
CPC - Prince George-Peace River
CPC - Richmond
CPC - Saanich-Gulf Islands
NDP - Skeena-Bulkley Valley
CPC - South Surrey-White Rock-Cloverdale
NDP - Surrey North
Lib - Vancouver Centre
NDP - Vancouver East
CPC - Vancouver Island North
Lib - Vancouver Kingsway
Lib - Vancouver Quadra
Lib - Vancouver South
NDP - Victoria
CPC - West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country
Lib - Yukon
NDP - Western Arctic
CPC - Nunuvut
Labels:
canadian election 2008,
election projection,
ridings
Hull
Our research indicates it will go NDP by less than 100 votes.
Labels:
canadian election 2008,
election projection,
ridings
Ontario Update (final)
ONTARIO - CPC 44 -- Lib 43 -- NDP 19
Lib - Ajax-Pickering
NDP - Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing
CPC - Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale
CPC - Barrie
NDP - Beaches-East York
Lib - Bramalea-Gore-Malton
Lib - Brampton West
Lib - Brampton-Springdale
Lib - Brant
CPC - Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound
CPC - Burlington
CPC - Cambridge
CPC - Carleton-Mississippi Mills
CPC - Chatham-Kent-Essex
Lib - Davenport
Lib - Don Valley East
Lib - Don Valley West
CPC - Dufferin-Caledon
CPC - Durham
Lib - Eglinton-Lawrence
CPC - Elgin-Middlesex-London
CPC - Essex
Lib - Etobicoke Centre
Lib - Etobicoke North
Lib - Etobicoke-Lakeshore
CPC - Glengarry-Prescott-Russell
Lib - Guelph
CPC - Haldimand-Norfolk
CPC - Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock
Lib - Halton
NDP - Hamilton Centre
NDP - Hamilton East-Stoney Creek
NDP - Hamilton Mountain
CPC - Huron-Bruce
NDP - Kenora
Lib - Kingston and the Islands
Lib - Kitchener Centre
CPC - Kitchener-Conestoga
Lib - Kitchener-Waterloo
CPC - Lambton-Kent-Middlesex
CPC - Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington
CPC - Leeds-Grenville
Lib - London North Centre
CPC - London West
NDP - London-Fanshawe
Lib - Markham-Unionville
Lib - Mississauga East-Cooksville
CPC - Mississauga South
Lib - Mississauga-Brampton South
Lib - Mississauga-Erindale
Lib - Mississauga-Streetsville
CPC - Nepean-Carleton
CPC - Newmarket-Aurora
CPC - Niagara Falls
CPC - Niagara West-Glanbrook
NDP - Nickel Belt
Lib - Nipissing-Timiskaming
CPC - Northumberland-Quinte West
Lib - Oak Ridges-Markham
CPC - Oakville
CPC - Oshawa
NDP - Ottawa Centre
Lib - Ottawa South
CPC - Ottawa West-Nepean
CPC - Ottawa-Orléans
Lib - Ottawa-Vanier
CPC - Oxford
NDP - Parkdale-High Park
CPC - Parry Sound-Muskoka
CPC - Perth-Wellington
CPC - Peterborough
Lib - Pickering-Scarborough East
CPC - Prince Edward-Hastings
CPC - Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke
Lib - Richmond Hill
CPC - Sarnia-Lambton
NDP - Sault Ste. Marie
Lib - Scarborough Centre
Lib - Scarborough Southwest
Lib - Scarborough-Agincourt
Lib - Scarborough-Guildwood
Lib - Scarborough-Rouge River
CPC - Simcoe North
CPC - Simcoe-Grey
CPC - St. Catharines
Lib - St. Paul's
CPC - Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry
Lib - Sudbury
Lib - Thornhill
NDP - Thunder Bay-Rainy River
NDP - Thunder Bay-Superior North
NDP - Timmins-James Bay
Lib - Toronto Centre
NDP - Toronto-Danforth
NDP - Trinity-Spadina
Lib - Vaughan
NDP - Welland
CPC - Wellington-Halton Hills
CPC - Whitby-Oshawa
Lib - Willowdale
NDP - Windsor West
NDP - Windsor-Tecumseh
Lib - York Centre
Lib - York South-Weston
Lib - York West
CPC - York-Simcoe
Lib - Ajax-Pickering
NDP - Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing
CPC - Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale
CPC - Barrie
NDP - Beaches-East York
Lib - Bramalea-Gore-Malton
Lib - Brampton West
Lib - Brampton-Springdale
Lib - Brant
CPC - Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound
CPC - Burlington
CPC - Cambridge
CPC - Carleton-Mississippi Mills
CPC - Chatham-Kent-Essex
Lib - Davenport
Lib - Don Valley East
Lib - Don Valley West
CPC - Dufferin-Caledon
CPC - Durham
Lib - Eglinton-Lawrence
CPC - Elgin-Middlesex-London
CPC - Essex
Lib - Etobicoke Centre
Lib - Etobicoke North
Lib - Etobicoke-Lakeshore
CPC - Glengarry-Prescott-Russell
Lib - Guelph
CPC - Haldimand-Norfolk
CPC - Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock
Lib - Halton
NDP - Hamilton Centre
NDP - Hamilton East-Stoney Creek
NDP - Hamilton Mountain
CPC - Huron-Bruce
NDP - Kenora
Lib - Kingston and the Islands
Lib - Kitchener Centre
CPC - Kitchener-Conestoga
Lib - Kitchener-Waterloo
CPC - Lambton-Kent-Middlesex
CPC - Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington
CPC - Leeds-Grenville
Lib - London North Centre
CPC - London West
NDP - London-Fanshawe
Lib - Markham-Unionville
Lib - Mississauga East-Cooksville
CPC - Mississauga South
Lib - Mississauga-Brampton South
Lib - Mississauga-Erindale
Lib - Mississauga-Streetsville
CPC - Nepean-Carleton
CPC - Newmarket-Aurora
CPC - Niagara Falls
CPC - Niagara West-Glanbrook
NDP - Nickel Belt
Lib - Nipissing-Timiskaming
CPC - Northumberland-Quinte West
Lib - Oak Ridges-Markham
CPC - Oakville
CPC - Oshawa
NDP - Ottawa Centre
Lib - Ottawa South
CPC - Ottawa West-Nepean
CPC - Ottawa-Orléans
Lib - Ottawa-Vanier
CPC - Oxford
NDP - Parkdale-High Park
CPC - Parry Sound-Muskoka
CPC - Perth-Wellington
CPC - Peterborough
Lib - Pickering-Scarborough East
CPC - Prince Edward-Hastings
CPC - Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke
Lib - Richmond Hill
CPC - Sarnia-Lambton
NDP - Sault Ste. Marie
Lib - Scarborough Centre
Lib - Scarborough Southwest
Lib - Scarborough-Agincourt
Lib - Scarborough-Guildwood
Lib - Scarborough-Rouge River
CPC - Simcoe North
CPC - Simcoe-Grey
CPC - St. Catharines
Lib - St. Paul's
CPC - Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry
Lib - Sudbury
Lib - Thornhill
NDP - Thunder Bay-Rainy River
NDP - Thunder Bay-Superior North
NDP - Timmins-James Bay
Lib - Toronto Centre
NDP - Toronto-Danforth
NDP - Trinity-Spadina
Lib - Vaughan
NDP - Welland
CPC - Wellington-Halton Hills
CPC - Whitby-Oshawa
Lib - Willowdale
NDP - Windsor West
NDP - Windsor-Tecumseh
Lib - York Centre
Lib - York South-Weston
Lib - York West
CPC - York-Simcoe
Labels:
canadian election 2008,
election projection,
ridings
Numbers
Still some are too close to call
CPC 121
Lib 82
BQ 51
NDP 36
Grn 1 (Yes, we have May winning her seat)
IND 2
TCTC 13
CPC 121
Lib 82
BQ 51
NDP 36
Grn 1 (Yes, we have May winning her seat)
IND 2
TCTC 13
Labels:
canadian election 2008,
election projection,
ridings
Riding by Riding (Ontario)
ONTARIO - Lib 38 -- CPC 40 -- NDP 16 -- TCTC 12
Lib - Ajax-Pickering
NDP - Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing
CPC - Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale
CPC - Barrie
NDP - Beaches-East York
Lib - Bramalea-Gore-Malton
Lib - Brampton West
Lib - Brampton-Springdale
Lib - Brant
CPC - Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound
CPC - Burlington
CPC - Cambridge
CPC - Carleton-Mississippi Mills
CPC - Chatham-Kent-Essex
Lib - Davenport
Lib - Don Valley East
Lib - Don Valley West
CPC - Dufferin-Caledon
CPC - Durham
Lib - Eglinton-Lawrence
CPC - Elgin-Middlesex-London
CPC - Essex
Lib - Etobicoke Centre
Lib - Etobicoke North
Lib - Etobicoke-Lakeshore
CPC - Glengarry-Prescott-Russell
TCTC - Guelph
TCTC - Haldimand-Norfolk
CPC - Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock
TCTC - Halton
NDP - Hamilton Centre
NDP - Hamilton East-Stoney Creek
NDP - Hamilton Mountain
CPC - Huron-Bruce
TCTC - Kenora
Lib - Kingston and the Islands
Lib - Kitchener Centre
CPC - Kitchener-Conestoga
Lib - Kitchener-Waterloo
CPC - Lambton-Kent-Middlesex
CPC - Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington
CPC - Leeds-Grenville
Lib - London North Centre
TCTC - London West
NDP - London-Fanshawe
Lib - Markham-Unionville
Lib - Mississauga East-Cooksville
TCTC - Mississauga South
Lib - Mississauga-Brampton South
TCTC - Mississauga-Erindale
TCTC - Mississauga-Streetsville
CPC - Nepean-Carleton
TCTC - Newmarket-Aurora
CPC - Niagara Falls
CPC - Niagara West-Glanbrook
NDP - Nickel Belt
Lib - Nipissing-Timiskaming
CPC - Northumberland-Quinte West
Lib - Oak Ridges-Markham
CPC - Oakville
CPC - Oshawa
NDP - Ottawa Centre
TCTC - Ottawa South
CPC - Ottawa West-Nepean
CPC - Ottawa-Orléans
Lib - Ottawa-Vanier
CPC - Oxford
TCTC - Parkdale-High Park
CPC - Parry Sound-Muskoka
CPC - Perth-Wellington
CPC - Peterborough
Lib - Pickering-Scarborough East
CPC - Prince Edward-Hastings
CPC - Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke
Lib - Richmond Hill
CPC - Sarnia-Lambton
NDP - Sault Ste. Marie
Lib - Scarborough Centre
Lib - Scarborough Southwest
Lib - Scarborough-Agincourt
Lib - Scarborough-Guildwood
Lib - Scarborough-Rouge River
CPC - Simcoe North
CPC - Simcoe-Grey
CPC - St. Catharines
Lib - St. Paul's
CPC - Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry
Lib - Sudbury
Lib - Thornhill
NDP - Thunder Bay-Rainy River
NDP - Thunder Bay-Superior North
NDP - Timmins-James Bay
Lib - Toronto Centre
NDP - Toronto-Danforth
NDP - Trinity-Spadina
Lib - Vaughan
TCTC - Welland
CPC - Wellington-Halton Hills
CPC - Whitby-Oshawa
Lib - Willowdale
NDP - Windsor West
NDP - Windsor-Tecumseh
Lib - York Centre
Lib - York South-Weston
Lib - York West
CPC - York-Simcoe
Lib - Ajax-Pickering
NDP - Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing
CPC - Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale
CPC - Barrie
NDP - Beaches-East York
Lib - Bramalea-Gore-Malton
Lib - Brampton West
Lib - Brampton-Springdale
Lib - Brant
CPC - Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound
CPC - Burlington
CPC - Cambridge
CPC - Carleton-Mississippi Mills
CPC - Chatham-Kent-Essex
Lib - Davenport
Lib - Don Valley East
Lib - Don Valley West
CPC - Dufferin-Caledon
CPC - Durham
Lib - Eglinton-Lawrence
CPC - Elgin-Middlesex-London
CPC - Essex
Lib - Etobicoke Centre
Lib - Etobicoke North
Lib - Etobicoke-Lakeshore
CPC - Glengarry-Prescott-Russell
TCTC - Guelph
TCTC - Haldimand-Norfolk
CPC - Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock
TCTC - Halton
NDP - Hamilton Centre
NDP - Hamilton East-Stoney Creek
NDP - Hamilton Mountain
CPC - Huron-Bruce
TCTC - Kenora
Lib - Kingston and the Islands
Lib - Kitchener Centre
CPC - Kitchener-Conestoga
Lib - Kitchener-Waterloo
CPC - Lambton-Kent-Middlesex
CPC - Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington
CPC - Leeds-Grenville
Lib - London North Centre
TCTC - London West
NDP - London-Fanshawe
Lib - Markham-Unionville
Lib - Mississauga East-Cooksville
TCTC - Mississauga South
Lib - Mississauga-Brampton South
TCTC - Mississauga-Erindale
TCTC - Mississauga-Streetsville
CPC - Nepean-Carleton
TCTC - Newmarket-Aurora
CPC - Niagara Falls
CPC - Niagara West-Glanbrook
NDP - Nickel Belt
Lib - Nipissing-Timiskaming
CPC - Northumberland-Quinte West
Lib - Oak Ridges-Markham
CPC - Oakville
CPC - Oshawa
NDP - Ottawa Centre
TCTC - Ottawa South
CPC - Ottawa West-Nepean
CPC - Ottawa-Orléans
Lib - Ottawa-Vanier
CPC - Oxford
TCTC - Parkdale-High Park
CPC - Parry Sound-Muskoka
CPC - Perth-Wellington
CPC - Peterborough
Lib - Pickering-Scarborough East
CPC - Prince Edward-Hastings
CPC - Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke
Lib - Richmond Hill
CPC - Sarnia-Lambton
NDP - Sault Ste. Marie
Lib - Scarborough Centre
Lib - Scarborough Southwest
Lib - Scarborough-Agincourt
Lib - Scarborough-Guildwood
Lib - Scarborough-Rouge River
CPC - Simcoe North
CPC - Simcoe-Grey
CPC - St. Catharines
Lib - St. Paul's
CPC - Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry
Lib - Sudbury
Lib - Thornhill
NDP - Thunder Bay-Rainy River
NDP - Thunder Bay-Superior North
NDP - Timmins-James Bay
Lib - Toronto Centre
NDP - Toronto-Danforth
NDP - Trinity-Spadina
Lib - Vaughan
TCTC - Welland
CPC - Wellington-Halton Hills
CPC - Whitby-Oshawa
Lib - Willowdale
NDP - Windsor West
NDP - Windsor-Tecumseh
Lib - York Centre
Lib - York South-Weston
Lib - York West
CPC - York-Simcoe
Labels:
canadian election 2008,
election projection,
ridings
Riding by Riding (BC)
BRITISH COLUMBIA - CPC 24 -- NDP 8 -- Lib 4
CPC - Abbotsford
NDP - British Columbia Southern Interior
NDP - Burnaby-Douglas
NDP - Burnaby-New Westminster
CPC - Cariboo-Prince George
CPC - Chilliwack-Fraser Canyon
CPC - Delta-Richmond East
CPC - Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca
CPC - Fleetwood-Port Kells
CPC - Kamloops-Thompson-Cariboo
CPC - Kelowna-Lake Country
CPC - Kootenay-Columbia
CPC - Langley
CPC - Nanaimo-Alberni
NDP - Nanaimo-Cowichan
CPC - New Westminster-Coquitlam
CPC - Newton-North Delta
CPC - North Vancouver
CPC - Okanagan-Coquihalla
CPC - Okanagan-Shuswap
CPC - Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge-Mission
CPC - Port Moody-Westwood-Port Coquitlam
CPC - Prince George-Peace River
CPC - Richmond
CPC - Saanich-Gulf Islands
NDP - Skeena-Bulkley Valley
CPC - South Surrey-White Rock-Cloverdale
NDP - Surrey North
Lib - Vancouver Centre
NDP - Vancouver East
CPC - Vancouver Island North
Lib - Vancouver Kingsway
Lib - Vancouver Quadra
Lib - Vancouver South
NDP - Victoria
CPC - West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country
CPC - Abbotsford
NDP - British Columbia Southern Interior
NDP - Burnaby-Douglas
NDP - Burnaby-New Westminster
CPC - Cariboo-Prince George
CPC - Chilliwack-Fraser Canyon
CPC - Delta-Richmond East
CPC - Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca
CPC - Fleetwood-Port Kells
CPC - Kamloops-Thompson-Cariboo
CPC - Kelowna-Lake Country
CPC - Kootenay-Columbia
CPC - Langley
CPC - Nanaimo-Alberni
NDP - Nanaimo-Cowichan
CPC - New Westminster-Coquitlam
CPC - Newton-North Delta
CPC - North Vancouver
CPC - Okanagan-Coquihalla
CPC - Okanagan-Shuswap
CPC - Pitt Meadows-Maple Ridge-Mission
CPC - Port Moody-Westwood-Port Coquitlam
CPC - Prince George-Peace River
CPC - Richmond
CPC - Saanich-Gulf Islands
NDP - Skeena-Bulkley Valley
CPC - South Surrey-White Rock-Cloverdale
NDP - Surrey North
Lib - Vancouver Centre
NDP - Vancouver East
CPC - Vancouver Island North
Lib - Vancouver Kingsway
Lib - Vancouver Quadra
Lib - Vancouver South
NDP - Victoria
CPC - West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country
Labels:
canadian election 2008,
election projection,
ridings
Riding by Riding (Prairies)
MANITOBA - CPC 9 -- NDP 5 -- Lib 2
CPC - Brandon-Souris
CPC - Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia
Lib - Churchill
CPC - Dauphin-Swan River-Marquette
NDP - Elmwood-Transcona
CPC - Kildonan-St. Paul
CPC - Portage-Lisgar
CPC - Provencher
CPC - Saint Boniface
CPC - Selkirk-Interlake
NDP - Winnipeg Centre
NDP - Winnipeg North
CPC - Winnipeg South
Lib - Winnipeg South Centre
SASKATCHEWAN - CPC 11 -- Lib 1 -- NDP 2
CPC - Battlefords-Lloydminster
CPC - Blackstrap
CPC - Cypress Hills-Grasslands
CPC - Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River
NDP - Palliser
CPC - Prince Albert
CPC - Regina-Lumsden-Lake Centre
CPC - Regina-Qu'Appelle
CPC - Saskatoon-Humboldt
NDP - Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar
CPC - Saskatoon-Wanuskewin
CPC - Souris-Moose Mountain
Lib - Wascana
CPC - Yorkton-Melville
ALBERTA - CPC 28
CPC - Calgary Centre
CPC - Calgary Centre-North
CPC - Calgary East
CPC - Calgary Northeast
CPC - Calgary Southeast
CPC - Calgary Southwest
CPC - Calgary West
CPC - Calgary-Nose Hill
CPC - Crowfoot
CPC - Edmonton Centre
CPC - Edmonton East
CPC - Edmonton-Leduc
CPC - Edmonton-Mill Woods-Beaumont
CPC - Edmonton-Sherwood Park
CPC - Edmonton-Spruce Grove
CPC - Edmonton-St. Albert
CPC - Edmonton-Strathcona
CPC - Fort McMurray-Athabasca
CPC - Lethbridge
CPC - Macleod
CPC - Medicine Hat
CPC - Peace River
CPC - Red Deer
CPC - Vegreville-Wainwright
CPC - Westlock-St. Paul
CPC - Wetaskiwin
CPC - Wild Rose
CPC - Yellowhead
Subtotal
CPC - 48
NDP - 7
Lib - 3
CPC - Brandon-Souris
CPC - Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia
Lib - Churchill
CPC - Dauphin-Swan River-Marquette
NDP - Elmwood-Transcona
CPC - Kildonan-St. Paul
CPC - Portage-Lisgar
CPC - Provencher
CPC - Saint Boniface
CPC - Selkirk-Interlake
NDP - Winnipeg Centre
NDP - Winnipeg North
CPC - Winnipeg South
Lib - Winnipeg South Centre
SASKATCHEWAN - CPC 11 -- Lib 1 -- NDP 2
CPC - Battlefords-Lloydminster
CPC - Blackstrap
CPC - Cypress Hills-Grasslands
CPC - Desnethé-Missinippi-Churchill River
NDP - Palliser
CPC - Prince Albert
CPC - Regina-Lumsden-Lake Centre
CPC - Regina-Qu'Appelle
CPC - Saskatoon-Humboldt
NDP - Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar
CPC - Saskatoon-Wanuskewin
CPC - Souris-Moose Mountain
Lib - Wascana
CPC - Yorkton-Melville
ALBERTA - CPC 28
CPC - Calgary Centre
CPC - Calgary Centre-North
CPC - Calgary East
CPC - Calgary Northeast
CPC - Calgary Southeast
CPC - Calgary Southwest
CPC - Calgary West
CPC - Calgary-Nose Hill
CPC - Crowfoot
CPC - Edmonton Centre
CPC - Edmonton East
CPC - Edmonton-Leduc
CPC - Edmonton-Mill Woods-Beaumont
CPC - Edmonton-Sherwood Park
CPC - Edmonton-Spruce Grove
CPC - Edmonton-St. Albert
CPC - Edmonton-Strathcona
CPC - Fort McMurray-Athabasca
CPC - Lethbridge
CPC - Macleod
CPC - Medicine Hat
CPC - Peace River
CPC - Red Deer
CPC - Vegreville-Wainwright
CPC - Westlock-St. Paul
CPC - Wetaskiwin
CPC - Wild Rose
CPC - Yellowhead
Subtotal
CPC - 48
NDP - 7
Lib - 3
Labels:
canadian election 2008,
election projection,
ridings
Riding by Riding (Quebec)
QUEBEC - BQ 51 -- Lib 14 -- CPC 7 -- NDP 1 -- IND 1 -- TCTC 1
BQ - Abitibi-Baie-James-Nunavik-Eeyou
BQ - Abitibi-Témiscamingue
Lib - Ahuntsic
BQ - Alfred-Pellan
BQ - Argenteuil-Papineau-Mirabel
BQ - Bas-Richelieu-Nicolet-Bécancour
CPC - Beauce
BQ - Beauharnois-Salaberry
BQ - Beauport-Limoilou
BQ - Berthier-Maskinongé
Lib - Bourassa
BQ - Brome-Missisquoi
Lib - Brossard-La Prairie
BQ - Chambly-Borduas
BQ - Charlesbourg-Haute-Saint-Charles
BQ - Châteauguay-Saint-Constant
BQ - Chicoutimi-Le Fjord
BQ - Compton-Stanstead
BQ - Drummond
BQ - Gaspésie-Îles-de-la-Madeleine
BQ - Gatineau
BQ - Haute-Gaspésie-La Mitis-Matane-Matapédia
BQ - Hochelaga
Lib - Honoré-Mercier
TCTC - Hull-Aylmer ** 3 way race.
BQ - Jeanne-Le Ber
BQ - Joliette
BQ - Jonquière-Alma
BQ - La Pointe-de-l'Île
Lib - Lac-Saint-Louis
Lib - LaSalle-Émard
BQ - Laurentides-Labelle
BQ - Laurier-Sainte-Marie
BQ - Laval
Lib - Laval-Les Îles
CPC - Lévis-Bellechasse
BQ - Longueuil-Pierre-Boucher
BQ - Lotbinière-Chutes-de-la-Chaudière
BQ - Louis-Hébert
CPC - Louis-Saint-Laurent
BQ - Manicouagan
BQ - Marc-Aurèle-Fortin
CPC - Mégantic-L'Érable
BQ - Montcalm
BQ - Montmagny-L'Islet-Kamouraska-Rivière-du-Loup
BQ - Montmorency-Charlevoix-Haute-Côte-Nord
Lib - Mount Royal
Lib - Notre-Dame-de-Grâce-Lachine
NDP - Outremont
Lib - Papineau
Lib - Pierrefonds-Dollard
CPC - Pontiac
IND - Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier
BQ - Québec
BQ - Repentigny
BQ - Richmond-Arthabaska
BQ - Rimouski-Neigette-Témiscouata-Les Basques
BQ - Rivière-des-Mille-Îles
BQ - Rivière-du-Nord
CPC - Roberval-Lac-Saint-Jean
BQ - Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie
BQ - Saint-Bruno-Saint-Hubert
BQ - Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot
BQ - Saint-Jean
BQ - Saint-Lambert
Lib - Saint-Laurent-Cartierville
Lib - Saint-Léonard-Saint-Michel
BQ - Saint-Maurice-Champlain
BQ - Shefford
BQ - Sherbrooke
BQ - Terrebonne-Blainville
BQ - Trois-Rivières
BQ - Vaudreuil-Soulanges
BQ - Verchères-Les Patriotes
Lib - Westmount-Ville-Marie
BQ - Abitibi-Baie-James-Nunavik-Eeyou
BQ - Abitibi-Témiscamingue
Lib - Ahuntsic
BQ - Alfred-Pellan
BQ - Argenteuil-Papineau-Mirabel
BQ - Bas-Richelieu-Nicolet-Bécancour
CPC - Beauce
BQ - Beauharnois-Salaberry
BQ - Beauport-Limoilou
BQ - Berthier-Maskinongé
Lib - Bourassa
BQ - Brome-Missisquoi
Lib - Brossard-La Prairie
BQ - Chambly-Borduas
BQ - Charlesbourg-Haute-Saint-Charles
BQ - Châteauguay-Saint-Constant
BQ - Chicoutimi-Le Fjord
BQ - Compton-Stanstead
BQ - Drummond
BQ - Gaspésie-Îles-de-la-Madeleine
BQ - Gatineau
BQ - Haute-Gaspésie-La Mitis-Matane-Matapédia
BQ - Hochelaga
Lib - Honoré-Mercier
TCTC - Hull-Aylmer ** 3 way race.
BQ - Jeanne-Le Ber
BQ - Joliette
BQ - Jonquière-Alma
BQ - La Pointe-de-l'Île
Lib - Lac-Saint-Louis
Lib - LaSalle-Émard
BQ - Laurentides-Labelle
BQ - Laurier-Sainte-Marie
BQ - Laval
Lib - Laval-Les Îles
CPC - Lévis-Bellechasse
BQ - Longueuil-Pierre-Boucher
BQ - Lotbinière-Chutes-de-la-Chaudière
BQ - Louis-Hébert
CPC - Louis-Saint-Laurent
BQ - Manicouagan
BQ - Marc-Aurèle-Fortin
CPC - Mégantic-L'Érable
BQ - Montcalm
BQ - Montmagny-L'Islet-Kamouraska-Rivière-du-Loup
BQ - Montmorency-Charlevoix-Haute-Côte-Nord
Lib - Mount Royal
Lib - Notre-Dame-de-Grâce-Lachine
NDP - Outremont
Lib - Papineau
Lib - Pierrefonds-Dollard
CPC - Pontiac
IND - Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier
BQ - Québec
BQ - Repentigny
BQ - Richmond-Arthabaska
BQ - Rimouski-Neigette-Témiscouata-Les Basques
BQ - Rivière-des-Mille-Îles
BQ - Rivière-du-Nord
CPC - Roberval-Lac-Saint-Jean
BQ - Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie
BQ - Saint-Bruno-Saint-Hubert
BQ - Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot
BQ - Saint-Jean
BQ - Saint-Lambert
Lib - Saint-Laurent-Cartierville
Lib - Saint-Léonard-Saint-Michel
BQ - Saint-Maurice-Champlain
BQ - Shefford
BQ - Sherbrooke
BQ - Terrebonne-Blainville
BQ - Trois-Rivières
BQ - Vaudreuil-Soulanges
BQ - Verchères-Les Patriotes
Lib - Westmount-Ville-Marie
Labels:
canadian election 2008,
election projection,
ridings
Riding by Riding (Atlantic)
NEWFOUDNLAND - Lib 6 -- NDP 1
Lib - Avalon
Lib - Bonavista-Gander-Grand Falls-Windsor
Lib - Humber-St. Barbe-Baie Verte
Lib - Labrador
Lib - Random-Burin-St. George's
NDP - St. John's East
Lib - St. John's South-Mount Pearl
PEI - Lib 4
Lib - Cardigan
Lib - Charlottetown
Lib - Egmont
Lib - Malpeque
NOVA SCOTIA - Lib 6 -- NDP 3 -- Grn 1 -- IND 1
Lib - Cape Breton-Canso
Grn - Central Nova
IND - Cumberland-Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley
Lib - Dartmouth-Cole Harbour
NDP - Halifax
Lib - Halifax West
Lib - Kings-Hants
NDP - Sackville-Eastern Shore
NDP - South Shore-St. Margaret's
Lib - Sydney-Victoria
Lib - West Nova
NEW BRUNSWICK - Lib 7 -- CPC 2 -- NDP 1
NDP - Acadie-Bathurst
Lib - Beauséjour
Lib - Fredericton
CPC - Fundy Royal
Lib - Madawaska-Restigouche
Lib - Miramichi
Lib - Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe
CPC - New Brunswick Southwest
Lib - Saint John
Lib - Tobique-Mactaquac
Subtotal:
Lib 23
NDP 5
CPC 2
Grn 1 (Yes, we have May winning her seat)
IND 1
Lib - Avalon
Lib - Bonavista-Gander-Grand Falls-Windsor
Lib - Humber-St. Barbe-Baie Verte
Lib - Labrador
Lib - Random-Burin-St. George's
NDP - St. John's East
Lib - St. John's South-Mount Pearl
PEI - Lib 4
Lib - Cardigan
Lib - Charlottetown
Lib - Egmont
Lib - Malpeque
NOVA SCOTIA - Lib 6 -- NDP 3 -- Grn 1 -- IND 1
Lib - Cape Breton-Canso
Grn - Central Nova
IND - Cumberland-Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley
Lib - Dartmouth-Cole Harbour
NDP - Halifax
Lib - Halifax West
Lib - Kings-Hants
NDP - Sackville-Eastern Shore
NDP - South Shore-St. Margaret's
Lib - Sydney-Victoria
Lib - West Nova
NEW BRUNSWICK - Lib 7 -- CPC 2 -- NDP 1
NDP - Acadie-Bathurst
Lib - Beauséjour
Lib - Fredericton
CPC - Fundy Royal
Lib - Madawaska-Restigouche
Lib - Miramichi
Lib - Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe
CPC - New Brunswick Southwest
Lib - Saint John
Lib - Tobique-Mactaquac
Subtotal:
Lib 23
NDP 5
CPC 2
Grn 1 (Yes, we have May winning her seat)
IND 1
Labels:
canadian election 2008,
election projection,
ridings
Final Raw Numbers
Note, these are our final "raw" numbers, not our final numbers, those will come out within the next 24 hours.
NATIONAL
CPC - 129
Lib - 86
BQ - 51
NDP - 39
Grn - 1
IND - 2
Territories
CPC - 1
Lib - 1
NDP - 1
British Columbia
CPC - 24
NDP - 8
Lib - 4
Alberta
CPC - 28
Prairies
CPC - 20
Lib - 4
NDP - 4
Ontario
CPC - 47
Lib - 39
NDP - 20
Quebec
BQ - 51
Lib - 15
CPC - 7
NDP - 1
IND - 1
Atlantic
Lib - 23
NDP - 5
CPC - 2
IND - 1
Grn - 1
NATIONAL
CPC - 129
Lib - 86
BQ - 51
NDP - 39
Grn - 1
IND - 2
Territories
CPC - 1
Lib - 1
NDP - 1
British Columbia
CPC - 24
NDP - 8
Lib - 4
Alberta
CPC - 28
Prairies
CPC - 20
Lib - 4
NDP - 4
Ontario
CPC - 47
Lib - 39
NDP - 20
Quebec
BQ - 51
Lib - 15
CPC - 7
NDP - 1
IND - 1
Atlantic
Lib - 23
NDP - 5
CPC - 2
IND - 1
Grn - 1
Where is our update?
I'm delaying it in the hopes that Nanos comes out with a 2pm poll today as they normally do. Our update will therefore be at 2:30 eastern. We will then comb over the ridings and reduce our TCTC ridings by a significant number.
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