New Ontario Ridings

Proposal is up!

Thoughts:

The NDP will suffer as a result of these new boundaries. Oshawa in particular appears to have been gerrymandered.

Haliburton-Uxbridge is the most terrible suggestion for a riding I've ever seen. It is in fact SO bad, I will personally make a presentation to the commission to let them know.

Toronto North should provide the CPC with a constant seat in Toronto

New Ottawa ridings are flawless IMO, and "perfect".

Kitchener South very strangely shaped, but unavoidable.

Hamilton gets new riding, exactly where it needs one.

Woodbridge, Unionville, Mount Pleasent, all ridings that need a closer look (by me to see what they mean)

Mississauga Centre should be good for the Liberals

Bradford and Georgina, as growing areas, should not be in the same riding.

Splitting Barrie a good idea. Barrie South will likely need to shrink in 2021 due to population growth.


More to come later (as in, maybe a day or a week or a month)

PS. and no, I do not detect any "Gerrymandering" outside of Oshawa.

Request (Gaspe)

-Haute Gaspesie-

Haute-Gaspesie-La Metis-Matane-Matapedia
B: 5749
L: 4984
N: 3020
C: 2947
G: 303

Gaspesie--Iles-De-La-Madeline
N: 9549
B: 8781
C: 4825
L: 3603
G: 744

GASPESIE--LES ILES:
B: 14530 - 32.6%
N: 12569 - 28.2%
L: 8587 - 19.3%
C: 7772 - 17.5%
G: 1047 - 2.4%



TO OTHER RIDING:

Haute-Gaspesie-La Metis-Matane-Matapedia
B: 6531
N: 4351
L: 3425
C: 2066
G: 389

Gaspesie--Iles-De-La-Madeline
N: 2729
B: 2526
L: 1502
C: 1195
G: 231

Rimouski
N: 15191
B: 11532
C: 4585
L: 3200
G: 731

RIMOUSKI
N: 22271 - 37.0%
B: 20589 - 34.2%
L: 8127 - 13.5%
C: 7846 - 13.0%
G: 1351 - 2.2%

Request

Two ridings are finished, the rest I will continue to work on.



--LEVIS--
From Levis-Bellechasse
C: 2281
G: 124
B: 1222
L: 432
N: 2568

From Lotbiniere--Chutes-de-la-Chaudiere
G: 677
N: 16595
B: 6308
C: 14671
L: 2105

TOTAL LEVIS:
N: 19163 - 40.8%
C: 16952 - 36.1%
B: 7530 - 16.0%
L: 2537 - 5.4%
G: 801 - 1.7%
TOT: 46983





--LAC SAINT LOUIS--
From Lac Saint Louis
L: 15039
C: 12442
N: 12317
G: 1903
B: 1130

From Notre-Dame-de-Grace--Lachine
N: 2299
L: 1708
C: 1085
B: 337
G: 270

TOTAL LAC SAINT LOUIS
L: 16747 - 34.5%
N: 14616 - 30.1%
C: 13527 - 27.9%
G: 2173 - 4.5%
B: 1467 - 3.0%



TO DO
-Ville Marie-
Laurier Saint Marie
Westmount Ville Marie
Jeanne-Le Ber

-Haute Gaspesie-
Haute-Gaspesie-La Metis-Matane-Matapedia
Gaspesie--Iles-De-La-Madeline

-GE Cartier-
Ahuntsic
Saint Laurent Cartierville

-Maurice Richard-
Papineau (small)
Bourassa (small)
Ahuntsic
Saint-Leonard

-St Leonard-
Saint-Leonard
Hochelaga

Answering a Request

I was asked in a comment if I can get the transposition for all 78 ridings in Quebec. Sadly, that's a bit too much work for ridings that are temporary (the final boundaries and proposed boundaries are sometimes quite different)

However, I was also asked if I can do the the transposition in Lac St Louis, Maurice Richard, Ville Marie, Haute Gaspesie, St. Leonard, Levis, and GE Cartier. The answer is yes. I will begin work on this ASAP and post once I am done.

Update

Again, based on delving deeper into the polls, my "gut" based on media reports (positive VS negative for each party) and focusing it more on recent, not older polls.