Not much in terms of hard numbers, but rather a reflection of feelings:
The Liberals seem in a much better place to win this coming election than the Tories. Iggy is more popular than Harper by certain measures, and does not have to wear the recession. As well the Tories pretty well "maxed-out" last election, while the Liberals have room for growth.
At this time we are projecting a Liberal win, but at this time we also feel it will be a minority.