Turning the most recent poll into seats, I get this:
NDP - 26
Lib - 14
PC - 12
Our current "Chances at Victory" have changed.
60% NDP Majority
40% NDP Minority
We no longer think it realistically possible for one of the other parties to manage a victory.
Tuesday, May 19, 2009
NS Election
Elections Nova Scotia is repoting officially nominated candidates (IE, those with all the legal paperwork)
Here are the numbers:
NDP - 41
PC - 38
Lib - 30
Grn - 17
IND - 1
We are still estimating a 66% chance of an NDP majority, with a 25% chance of an NDP minority (9% chance of a PC minority)
Candidates still have a week to register.
Here are the numbers:
NDP - 41
PC - 38
Lib - 30
Grn - 17
IND - 1
We are still estimating a 66% chance of an NDP majority, with a 25% chance of an NDP minority (9% chance of a PC minority)
Candidates still have a week to register.
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