New Ontario Ridings

Proposal is up!

Thoughts:

The NDP will suffer as a result of these new boundaries. Oshawa in particular appears to have been gerrymandered.

Haliburton-Uxbridge is the most terrible suggestion for a riding I've ever seen. It is in fact SO bad, I will personally make a presentation to the commission to let them know.

Toronto North should provide the CPC with a constant seat in Toronto

New Ottawa ridings are flawless IMO, and "perfect".

Kitchener South very strangely shaped, but unavoidable.

Hamilton gets new riding, exactly where it needs one.

Woodbridge, Unionville, Mount Pleasent, all ridings that need a closer look (by me to see what they mean)

Mississauga Centre should be good for the Liberals

Bradford and Georgina, as growing areas, should not be in the same riding.

Splitting Barrie a good idea. Barrie South will likely need to shrink in 2021 due to population growth.


More to come later (as in, maybe a day or a week or a month)

PS. and no, I do not detect any "Gerrymandering" outside of Oshawa.

Request (Gaspe)

-Haute Gaspesie-

Haute-Gaspesie-La Metis-Matane-Matapedia
B: 5749
L: 4984
N: 3020
C: 2947
G: 303

Gaspesie--Iles-De-La-Madeline
N: 9549
B: 8781
C: 4825
L: 3603
G: 744

GASPESIE--LES ILES:
B: 14530 - 32.6%
N: 12569 - 28.2%
L: 8587 - 19.3%
C: 7772 - 17.5%
G: 1047 - 2.4%



TO OTHER RIDING:

Haute-Gaspesie-La Metis-Matane-Matapedia
B: 6531
N: 4351
L: 3425
C: 2066
G: 389

Gaspesie--Iles-De-La-Madeline
N: 2729
B: 2526
L: 1502
C: 1195
G: 231

Rimouski
N: 15191
B: 11532
C: 4585
L: 3200
G: 731

RIMOUSKI
N: 22271 - 37.0%
B: 20589 - 34.2%
L: 8127 - 13.5%
C: 7846 - 13.0%
G: 1351 - 2.2%

Request

Two ridings are finished, the rest I will continue to work on.



--LEVIS--
From Levis-Bellechasse
C: 2281
G: 124
B: 1222
L: 432
N: 2568

From Lotbiniere--Chutes-de-la-Chaudiere
G: 677
N: 16595
B: 6308
C: 14671
L: 2105

TOTAL LEVIS:
N: 19163 - 40.8%
C: 16952 - 36.1%
B: 7530 - 16.0%
L: 2537 - 5.4%
G: 801 - 1.7%
TOT: 46983





--LAC SAINT LOUIS--
From Lac Saint Louis
L: 15039
C: 12442
N: 12317
G: 1903
B: 1130

From Notre-Dame-de-Grace--Lachine
N: 2299
L: 1708
C: 1085
B: 337
G: 270

TOTAL LAC SAINT LOUIS
L: 16747 - 34.5%
N: 14616 - 30.1%
C: 13527 - 27.9%
G: 2173 - 4.5%
B: 1467 - 3.0%



TO DO
-Ville Marie-
Laurier Saint Marie
Westmount Ville Marie
Jeanne-Le Ber

-Haute Gaspesie-
Haute-Gaspesie-La Metis-Matane-Matapedia
Gaspesie--Iles-De-La-Madeline

-GE Cartier-
Ahuntsic
Saint Laurent Cartierville

-Maurice Richard-
Papineau (small)
Bourassa (small)
Ahuntsic
Saint-Leonard

-St Leonard-
Saint-Leonard
Hochelaga

Quick Post

I decided to eyeball the new proposed Federal ridings for Quebec. I compared this to poll-by-poll results from the 2011 election to get a rough transposition. Here are my estimates.



Levis goes NDP, but CPC gains Lac-Saint-Louis from the Liberals
Liberals lose Lac-Saint-Louis but gain George-Etienne-Cartier, a new riding
Bloc holds on to all of their ridings
CPC: 5
LIB: 7
BQ: 4
NDP: 62