Trends

We currently see a clear trendline in only one province; Quebec. The Tories are heading down, as are the Greens (though the latter is mostly the result of the unrealistic 26% poll) while the Liberals and Bloc are heading up.

This will be factored into our newest projection, to be posted within 12 hours.

Where the parties stand.

Our newest 5-poll average has the parties standing at the following numbers in each region.

Ontario
Lib - 39%
CPC - 36%
NDP - 15%
Grn - 10%

Quebec
BQ - 36%
Lib - 29%
CPC - 15%
NDP - 11%
Grn - 9%

Atlantic
Lib - 39%
CPC - 32%
NDP - 25%
Grn - 4%

British Columbia
CPC - 42%
Lib - 23%
NDP - 22%
Grn - 10%

Alberta
CPC - 56%
Lib - 20%
NDP - 12%
Grn - 8%

Prairies
CPC - 46%
Lib - 23%
NDP - 21%
Grn - 7%


Expect a full projection tomorrow.